Posted On: Saturday - February 22nd 2025 9:18PM MST
In Topics: Global Climate Stupidity Science
First, it's funny cause it's true... and REAL:
We have to SCARE The Planet in order to save it!... or at least KILL the economy! OK, moving on ...
Tony Heller, EE, Geologist, and Climate Sanitist, made this 13 minute video, My Gift to Climate Alarmists. After you watch it, let me explain the gift bit, as this doesn't detract from the amazing (due to the exposure of SO MUCH blatant graphical lying) points he makes.
Perhaps that math lesson of earlier today was a little overboard. Most PS readers would easily understand the basic idea without the math - come up with a best fit curve, usually a line, to fit observational data. That would include data of climate (T's, ice cover, number of Cat 5 hurricanes, whatever) over time that is used to ascertain whether The Planet is gonna boil or something.
Watch and see the simple way that Climate Alarmists screw around with their Linear Regression obtained lines designed to alarm people. Most people don't get into the numbers enough to catch their lying via graphs.
Yes, easy-peasy - just pick the perfect time scale to make The Planet look well and truly screwed. Mr. Heller offers to help these Climatological frauds with their work. He's facetious, but then he sounds serious about his software.
Sometimes the cleverness in an idea is in the thinking of it, not the implementation. Mr. Flenderson's software does something simple, at least it is in the day of almost unlimited computing power and speed. The idea is obvious once you've thought of it: Let a computer program find the time range (x-axis here), with a beginning and end that give the most alarming best-fit line. In other words, do a meta best-fit based on all possible ranges that you have data on (or admit to having data on*) to get the "best" best-fit line. By "best" we mean the most alarmist.**
Again, this idea is ready-made for a computer program. Instead of the Climatologist having to play with his ranges on a spreadsheet to get the curve that helps get the most funding, he will be able to let the program just spit out exactly what he needs. Wallah! There's your paper for the journal, some accolades in the New York Times, more funding, and maybe an interview on TV one day.
Thank you, Toby. Now get back to the annex.
PS: The steady rise in sea levels shown in the video is interesting and something I hadn't known about. This goes way back, at a rate of just over an inch per decade, so 1 ft per century. Florida beaches have only been crowded with residents for under a century, but those are the places that would notice. Has anyone?
* I watched the video a few days back, but I remember that to get one good best-fit line, the Alarmists stated that there wasn't satellite data for earlier. Toby shows that there indeed was, and it was used elsewhere.
** One can let the software do a brute-force approach, running through all possible ranges to the get that "best fit". OTOH, we can do some more math beforehand... Make a bigger function that includes the variables tstart and tend, then take 4 partial derivatives to get the minimum of that 5D surface and ... OK, OK! Nevermind. "You never go full geek!"
Comments:
Moderator
Sunday - February 23rd 2025 5:47PM MST
PS: Indeed, SafeNow. When you see how much money is involved and rights taken away in these arduous responses, you tend to wonder if the bad behavior was planned by other than the terrorists. That's not all of these things, of course - I read a book about airline hijackings in the 1970s. I forget which year it was, but it averaged to 1 hijacking per week for one year.
SafeNow
Sunday - February 23rd 2025 3:51PM MST
PS
The “hidden data” ruse also lurks in medical trials, Covid articles, and the election-stealing of 2020. Someone coined the expression “the terrorist’s leverage” (William Buckley?) to describe the fact that a small amount of bad behavior can often trigger the need for an arduous response. (The Tylenol poisoning; airline highjacking). And now, AI comes along to assist the leverage. aspect. All of this reminds me of the meme about a guy who says “I slept with a number of bikini models.” Then he whispers that the number happens to be zero.
The “hidden data” ruse also lurks in medical trials, Covid articles, and the election-stealing of 2020. Someone coined the expression “the terrorist’s leverage” (William Buckley?) to describe the fact that a small amount of bad behavior can often trigger the need for an arduous response. (The Tylenol poisoning; airline highjacking). And now, AI comes along to assist the leverage. aspect. All of this reminds me of the meme about a guy who says “I slept with a number of bikini models.” Then he whispers that the number happens to be zero.