Dow slides: ZeroHedge commenters hardest hit


Posted On: Tuesday - March 11th 2025 6:36PM MST
In Topics: 
  Websites  Trump  Economics



I've written about this before. This group of people - the ZeroHedge commenters, who lean heavily anti-Regime Economic System and understand economics better than most, will complain when they're losing money in the Regime Economic System. That was the case a dozen years ago, and now I'm seeing the same thing. It's amusing.

Articles and comments there lean heavily Conservative and pro-Trump. Not all the commenters agree with Trump's tariffs, but I would say most understand the concept. The US has been getting screwed in trade, by either tariffs or unfair practices of various kinds (think especially China for 30 years here!). Even if you, like the esteemed Ron Paul here, (something we wrote about before in Ron Paul is wrong about something.) don't agree with the basic idea of tariffs, you may still understand the 3 reasons Trump has pushed them into place.

1) Yeah, it's been unfair. Canada tariffs the crap on lots of American imports, and China makes it hard to import goods, so let's just give back what we've been given.

2) President Trump has used tariffs as a bargaining tool to get Canada and Mexico to strengthen their borders. I'd say the onus for border control is on the receiving country - Trump is so far doing a bang-up job on this - but this is another way to get some things changed.

3) The most important and one I'd figure most people understand, to help bring back manufacturing to America. You can't have a serious economy in a big country like this without a serious manufacturing base. We simply can't go along selling each other gourmet hamburgers and craft beer.


Ahhh, but muh DOW JONES! It's what, 7-8% or so down since the high a month back. OMG! Honestly, since I don't give a wit really, other than in knowing when the SHTF is imminent, I had no idea the Dow was out of the 30,000s. No, you can't win if you don't enter! (You can't lose either.)

Reading those comments was a little disconcerting, as all of a sudden Trump is the bad guy for lots of the commenters. How about a little support and you quit worrying about your "earnings"? Long term changes must be made, and they will involve a lot more financial pain for Americans than this small drop in the Dow.


SITE NOTE: I spent lots of time arguing on the internet today, so I'm sorry this is all I've got. There's lots of good stuff to come, but, the last 3 days of this bidness week will be onerous. There may not be any posts up until Saturday. Sorry about that.

**********************************
[UPDATED 03/12:]
Added link to previous post about Ron Paul's opinion on tariffs.
**********************************


Comments (8)




Minnesota MentalCaseRep Kozlowski (BP - Duluth) calls out Genocide where they see it.


Posted On: Saturday - March 8th 2025 9:10PM MST
In Topics: 
  Genderbenders  Feminism  Trump  Liberty/Libertarianism  Female Stupidity

Alicia/Beelzebubba Kozlowski have the floor:



ZeroHedge reports Non-Binary Minnesota State Rep Slams Trump's Efforts To Protect Women's Sports As "Genocide". Forgive me, ZH commenters, for borrowing a few good ones - the "BP" is for Bi-Polar, which is likely the real condition of those who use the euphemism "non-binary' instead. That is, unless they are Mathematicians who could, nay, SHOULD, make it clear that, as Americans, we work within a decimal system, dammit. Those of us (Mathematicians) who don't stoop so low as to go into IT are absolutely non-binary... so, hell, yeah! Maybe, Mix(ed up) Kozlowski should state their status as non-Boolean to make this a little more clear, mathematically, if not grammatically.

OK, speaking of grammatically clear, NOT!, now it's not just the ZH post, but even Wiki page on this piece of work uses the "their/they" terminology! From the 1st paragraph, in "Early life, education and career", it's confusing, as I can't tell if the writing is about her parents or this apparently furloughed-to-the-Legislative mental patient.

One more thing that I should clear up is that, per this 8 y/o Peak Stupidity post (our first, but nowhere close to last, post on Feminism), the "they/their" use for 3rd person unknown sex is nothing new. It came out of 1970s Feminist revisionism of English. Speaking of English as a subject though, I'm trying to come up with the term to explain how the long-term, still erroneous, use of "them" and "their" is different from the Woke genderbender stupidity we've seen for the last few years and in this article...

... so back to Alicia Kozlowski. This is Minnesota, land of Mary Tyler Moore, for crying out loud. It used to be that the fruits and nuts were contained in California. You can't grow them in Minnesota too well. Could it be that ...maybe Climate Change is real... because this lady person is one of the combination fruits AND nuts.

Miss OK, fine, this F->L MP is calling out genocide where it sees it. That is, not that strapping young M-F trannie athletes are beating up girls on sports teams. That's rough (and to me an amusing bit of irony to seen in the cause of Feminism), but it's not genocide. No, it's the practice of prohibiting such people from being able to beat and beat up the girls that is genocide ... that's true, if you're a FttL mental patient, it is. It can be, if you want it to be.
We’re facing an era of anti-trans violence that is born in the playbook of colonial violence used against two-spirits right here for over 500 years to reinforce the gender binary, and use colonial powers to do it. …

[Y]ou have to understand why this is deeply connected to what we’re talking about tonight, because the first children that they came for were two-spirits and trans kids as a target.
Who knew this goes back 500 years?! I guess the idea is for this nutcase to use her mother's side Indian heritage in the cause of victimhood. We've written about this Spirits Community terminology before. I was right that it's not gonna take. People tend to associate the Spirits Community with distilled spirits... for some strange unknown reason. ZeroHedge commenters, however, reckon that this two-spirit idea is different. This Alicia Kozlowski does have 2 competing spirits, her soul and the demon that possesses her... goes by WB, Woke Beelzebubba.

That, errr, said, let me get to a point associated more with legislators and legislation than with the Crazy House State Hospital. That would be the actions of President Trump to fight this genderbender stupidity. Yes, it IS a winning issue for him, and it's gotten him lots of attention and support. Continuing the fight for this obvious extreme stupidity is not a good strategy for the Blue-squad. "Keep on doin' what you're doin'!"

That said, why in Sam Hill is this something the President of the US should be involved in?! He shouldn't have to, and he shouldn't be. (For Trump, whatever works, I guess.) We've got the President making edicts or trying to push through law to ban men from playing in women's sports. Our limited-government-loving Founders would have been sick to their stomachs, and that's before ever hearing of "transgenders" and "transitioning". I don't speak for the people of Minnesota, but I highly doubt, per their Constitution, this is something the Minnesota legislature, Mental Case(s) Alicia Kozlowski/Beelzebubba presiding, should be taking up either.

Here's how it's SUPPOSED to work. Instead of relying on some would-be King to make an edict, how about parents refuse to let their daughters play under such stupid conditions? How about they shut this stuff down via the PTO (formerly PTA)? How about they form their own competing leagues, to which all the girls would transition (oops!), with normal participation rules?

I'm really tired of hearing about all this.

Here's something that's probably also not specified in the Constitution of the State of Minnesota, but it's something I would really like to see anyway: A full-out exorcism on the floor of the State House. Must-see TV!



Comments (6)




Defeating Globalism: Europeans v Americans


Posted On: Friday - March 7th 2025 6:09PM MST
In Topics: 
  Immigration Stupidity  Trump  Globalists  Americans  Orwellian Stupidity  World Political Stupidity

Here, Peak Stupidity most refers to Western Europeans, although leaders of Poland, of the former East Bloc, seem to be down with the Western Euros too.

This welcome rift in European/American relations started with Trump, PBUH, and his brash anti-Globalist attitude seen by the world in that no holds barred interview with the Ukraine's V. Zelensky. What? Trump is not on-board the "Russia! no longer the USSR, shhhhh Russia! no longer the USSR, shhhhh Russia! no longer the USSR, shhhhh " program? What of NATO? How can the leader and biggest benefactor of the organization designed to counter the... uhhh... Warsaw Pact .. uhhh, just leave it hanging in the wind?!

Next thing you know, Trump will want to get US out of the UN too, and (well, might as well - prime real estate there) get the UN out of the US!

I'm a member, super-donor, and big supporter of the John Birch Society, and I know they were saying this same thing 70 years ago. John Birch himself* was shot by Chinese Communist soldiers in 1945, and founder Robert Welch died 40 years back, but has it taken 7 decades to clue in Americans about Communist/Globalist infiltration of society? Donald Trump, even, is catching on, and he doesn't read squat.

I'm not optimistic that Trump will really extract America from the Ukraine/Russia war. However, this rift in NATO could be used to let if fall by the wayside. It's only been right at half way in history to the founding of JBS that the Cold War ended, and there was no more Warsaw Pact, without an East Bloc supported by the 35-year-gone USSR to be, well, IT. I hope Americans are catching on.

MAGA is against Globalism, as you can't be for the Nationalist America First policies and be down with Globalism. For at least the MAGA folks, it's nice to see that lots of them are not so much your "Thank you for your service" people anymore. Even those low-brow types who don't read or write for Peak Stupidity** may be catching on, due to their hanging on President Trump's every word and action, that America's military has been defending exactly Jack Squat of America until Trump's having sent a few percent of the manpower down to the Texas/Mexico border.

I got ahead of myself here, as I meant to move on to the Europeans first. For whatever reason, and I don't think it's ALL stupidity, they are under the impression that it's 1985 outside, and if they don't CONTAIN*** it, tanks will be rolling west through the Fulda Gap from East Germany ... wait, or somewhere. They aren't all that stupid, so my speculation is that the Globalists of Europe want people to believe this, as Russia is not quite so down with the Globalist's plans as most of Europe is.

Let me modify that a bit. I don't mean the European people so much as the European leaders. OTOH, it's the people that are were responsible for putting these Globalist bastards in power. I struck out "are" because at some point it becomes too late to make a choice.



The British people had had enough of the Tories, alleged Conservatives, conserving absolutely nothing of Great Britain by turning the knob on the Population Replacement Programme controls up to 11. So, they kicked them out of office, knowing full well that the replacement leadership was going to be no better. ("Meet the new boss - same as the old boss" The WHO had it right. No, not THAT WHO.)

In fact the new PM, Keir Starmer, is demonstrably worse. He's down with the PRP, but he's also gone Orwellian against any resistance to it. Peak Stupidity got deeply into the riots last summer in Southport, Rotherham, and elsewhere - with 7 detailed posts here. These riots were directly motivated by immigrant violence, starting with rage about that Welshman who stabbed to death 3 little girls, goes by the name Axel Rudakabana. (Yeah, that's also fairly unpronounceable, but, no, not Welch.) However, the general rage is against the PRP.

Keif Starmer is having none of that Free Speech thing, in which people discuss the problems and argue for change. The British army started fighting a war against that sort of thing a quarter of a Millennium ago, so I suppose the man should be called a Tory. However, a character named Big Brother from 1984 fits his M.O. better. Brits who argue against their replacement and the general cause of Globalism, and I'm guessing supporting wars against Russia is part of it, should be made the subject of 2-minute HATE-fests banned on twitter and taken away and banned from proper society.



I honestly had to look up this guy, Olaf Scholz, Chancellor of Germany since '21. The problem for those who resist Globalism in Germany is the political system, not the one guy. Anti-Globalists around the world were happy to see the AfD (Alternative for Deutchland) party make big election gains, doubling their vote share from 10 1/2 in '21 to just under 21% to this year. Yes, Trump's coattails flutter around the world. That's good news, but the way things work there, the system can be used to keep that one anti-Globalist party from wielding power.

One has to register with The Authorities to form a political party. I'm not sure if the Nazis went through that ardous process, but the fallout from their rise and fall has resulted in a type of Hitler's Revenge.**** If the Government doesn't like your party, you can't have one. (No, don't bring up Lesley Gore, please.) Wiki has some details:
The version of the Federal Republic of Germany's Party Law current, as amended, in 2025 was enacted in 1967 and, according to the European Parliament, defines political parties as "central entities for the good functioning of democracy"
"Democracy"? Like in the German Democratic Republic?
The standards for the prohibition of political parties in the Federal Republic of Germany are laid-out in Article 21 of the Basic Law and Section 43 of the Federal Constitutional Court Act. According to the court, parties that "in view of their aims or the behaviour of their adherents, seek to undermine or abolish the free democratic basic order or to endanger the existence of the Federal Republic of Germany must be declared unconstitutional".

The court has interpreted these standards to establish two criteria for prohibition, both of which must be met. The first criteria is that a party demonstrate an "aggressive and combative attitude" that creates a "climate of fear" with the ultimate aim of abolishing the democratic order or the existence of the Federal Republic of Germany.

In 2017, the court created a second criterion for banning called "potentiality". The party in question must have the potential to actually implement its anti-democratic objectives to qualify for prohibition.
"Climate of fear"? Yes, so as long as someone is scared, such as possibly 100's of thousand of government workers and the Globalist puppets like Herr Sholtz, then, no, of course you can't have your party. Anyone can say he's living in "a climate of fear". That's completely subjective. How long will it be before the AfD gets threatened with banishment for creating a climate of fear?

No that's no good. The people are not in a very good position to fight Globalism under these types of governments. Over here, it has been quite a struggle*****, but we've got ourselves into a better situation to fight Globalism.



Yeah, I know. A Pat Buchanan or a Ron Paul would have been much better, if even just for our collective blood pressure. However, this is the guy we've got. We've got to live with him and work with what we've got. This is not to say that Donald Trump is our savior. Hell, he's 78 years old. When Kings die, things change. Is J.D. Vance reliable as a successor to continue the work against Globalism? Maybe the Trump Administration should work with Congress this time, as I explained 4 years ago... but, wait, that IS happening. I think this guy has learned a lot.

My optimism regarding the American fight against Globalism comes not so much from Trump himself, but from knowing how many MAGA people are out there, enough to support him at big rallies for years and to get him past the amount of cheating that may have happened in '24.

MAGA is against all manner of Globalism to the extent that there is indeed some woo-woo stuff being discussed that is not all real, discussed recently by Steve Sailer in a dismissive manner. I don't agree with him. I'm not going to argue chem-trails, UFOs (well, there are unidentified drones, which, after all, FLY), Jewish space lasers, HAARP, etc. in this post, one way or the other. Then, if you want to keep going, how about "Eat zee bugs", Blackrock buying out real estate, and CDBCs (I'm not talking pot oil here), and, my favorite, the iEspionage? There's a whole spectrum of worries about Globalism, and we all have our favorite colors. I am glad we folks of the MAGA movement all work in our own ways to resist zee Globalism. As for some of the Far Out! [/John Denver] stuff, hey, better safe than sorry!

I'm more optimistic for America's chances against Globalism than Europe's. Maybe that's "because we live here!", but our political system seems to be better suited for resistance. Then too, there are the 100's of millions of guns. I know that there are times one questions why we haven't already bore them in anger, but there could be such a time. I believe this remains a worry for the Globalists. Good!


PS: I skipped France because I don't know enough about what's going on there politically. (I'd read Macron has taken a hit from the Trump election too.) Is the Yellow Vest movement still ongoing?


* I read a short book on him that the JBS sent me.

** Interpret that as you will - I left out a comma.

*** Remember the term "containment" from the Cold War? (Probably not, and I don't blame you.) It made sense then. I've heard otherwise, but if America and NATO had not contained the Soviets and China, yes, much of the world would have been brought under the light of the Communist Moon. [old Right Stuff and LBJ reference there].

**** VDare writers coined this term, but the meaning was specifically race/immigration oriented. I really wish I could link you to something here ... alas, fat-ass Leticia James.

***** Since Adolph Hitler was already mentioned once this post, this is a freebie: We've heard of Hitler's Mein Kampf, but I think Donald Trump ought to be the one to write, OK, have a guy write, My Other Struggle: How I got though the worst struggle EVER in history to become the best President since before George Washington..


Comments (10)




Windshield Wipers in a Peak Stupidity Trifecta


Posted On: Thursday - March 6th 2025 8:40PM MST
In Topics: 
  Cheap China-made Crap  Cars  Curmudgeonry  Inflation



We love it when a post comes together! [/A-Team guy] This post contains a trifecta of stupidity among a few of our favorite niche flavors of stupid. There's the Curmudgeonry, in which things keep getting worse, the Cheap China-made Crap in which we usually can't find anything but that worse stuff, and Inflation, in which stuff continuously cost more due to it being worse.

One of the front wiper blades in our newer vehicle (the longer one of the two blades - this is newfangled stuff here) is missing an important spot, about a 3" wide swipe, and I swear I got these within the last year. The rubber on these things gets brittle in no time now! Yes, this vehicle stays outside where the sun is harder on rubber parts, but I used to get many years on wiper blades under the same conditions. It seems like it used to be only very rarely, maybe 3 or 5 year intervals, when I had this simple job to do. Now, I'm stocking up for what seems to be a yearly job or an even more frequent one.

Replacing the blades* is easy once you've done it once. However, what about the mechanically declined folks or anyone who generally gets a shop to do these things? For them, I'd think it'd be at least a 0.1 hr add-on to servicing, meaning $10-$20 for the labor.

I don't even have to look to know they are made in China now. As with tires, I wonder whether the cheaper rubber is used just due to cost savings for the manufacturer due to a plan to increase replacement rates, hence sales, and/or both.

Where do those wiper blades fit within the BLS "basket o' goods"? I can see them helping bring down the official inflation rate, as nominal prices may not have gone up. However, same as with bicycles (see 3rd paragraph of Hedonics in the Current Era of Cheap China-made Crap, in which we broached this point), if you have to buy these things 3 to 5 times as often, your real price for "staying in good wiper blades" is that factor higher. What do you call this effect? How about we introduce the Quality Adjusted price? What do you say, BLS green-eyeshade boys? (Or D.I.E. hires?)

My point with the bikes was slightly different. You may not have to buy them 3 to 5 times as often. You probably can repair them. However, the Cheap China-made Crap ones require repairs much more often, raising the Quality Adjusted price due to both parts and labor.

See, goods are getting worse, because they are poorly made in China now, which is yet another from of inflation. This one is not accounted for in these baskets of goods and services. Hell, bikes don't even come with baskets anymore, unless you get one that's fake and ghey.



* I remember when you'd just replace the rubber piece with its steel strip backing. That seems, and I hate to invoke The Greta, but it seems a lot less wasteful or more sustainable, as the Treehuggers might put it. Now you throw out a bunch of material each time.


Comments (5)




America's Golden Ticket- this might actu ... What a stupid idea!


Posted On: Wednesday - March 5th 2025 6:58PM MST
In Topics: 
  Immigration Stupidity  Trump  Economics

For the first time in as long as I can remember - I imagine since President Reagan - I watched (some of) the State of the Union address. I won't review it here. I was getting very sleepy anyway, but after President's Trump's stupidity about the Golden Buy-your-way-in immigration cards, that was enough.



I guess in addition to being the most important President since George Washington, Trump fancies himself the next Willie Wonka. Rather than springing for a candy bar and getting very lucky, Trump's Gold Card winners will just have to come to America with $5 Million... to give to America, well, the Government anyway, to help pay off the national debt. According to "Sovereign Man":



Get out!     [/Elaine Benice]


I remember this Sovereign Man from my dozen years ago days of reading ZeroHedge daily. Going by the pseudonym Simon Black then, this Jim Hickman is one of those men about the world*. This Sovereign Man bit is far different than the Sovereign Citizens of said movement in America (something we discussed recently in comments here). Regarding the former, it's easy to go on about where in the whole wide world you should move next, park your money, and how to escape or minimize taxes. I'm guessing he's not a family man.

All that vagabond stuff** doesn't work too well for those who are established people of the land. Such people don't necessarily relish guys like Jim Hickman or a few million rich guys buying out their country.

I really don't think President Trump understands exactly how much his scheme resembles selling out the country. Along these lines, why doesn't he just sell National Park land, square mile by square mile, to Chinese investors? They could also move here to develop and live on that land, the big old-growth trees serving well for a chopstick factory. (Yeah, I mused about doing a calculation for the Olympic Nat'l Park being cut into chopsticks while writing this post.***) We may be able to cover the whole national debt with these and other assets, their becoming property of foreigners, with the heritage of those who settled and built America lost. Whose debt will we have paid off?

I'd known that Portugal has been doing this selling of citizenship for cash thing, until, as this article admits, the people got mad about rising real estate prices. I've heard the same about New Zealand - now the formerly White British-heritage nation is diverse, with a large crown of Chinese exodees. The writer mentions Puerto Rico too, but, haha, were I some kind of Sovereign Man myself, I might be asking the Puerto Rican government for cash in return for my deigning to live there!

I've repeatedly said that Trump is no numbers man. He's got starry eyes about that cash from millions of new foreigners and probably had listened to Elon Musk on this one. Simon Black , oops, Jim Hickman at least has done some basic low-level rectal extraction. He seems like the kind of guy who WOULD know how many rich people are around that would do this deal, and he reckons that $5 Million won't work as a good price point. Lower it to $1 Million, and you may see more money coming in.

While Trump naively thinks we'll have 5 million Elon Musks (though at the $1 Million we'd need a Texas-sized crowd of 'em) coming here, instead it will be Latin American cartel owners, Chinese $1,200/month government corrupt Millionaires salary men who "save real good!", Indian call-center scammer "TECH" entrepreneurs, and a few dozen African Potentates. Bye, bye, high-trust society and that American Pie. You think we've got the wrong elites now? Yeah, well, it CAN get worse.

Sovereign Man adds, trying to sell his advice later:
On the other hand, from an individual American’s perspective, it’s great that there are already golden visa programs around the world that can help you diversify internationally with foreign residency, property ownership, and investment.
See, we'd better find our own bug-out places too. We can all mix and match until some sort of equilibrium is reached, or what? Or do we all spend our lives running... and a million bucks each time... I mean, you've got that much at least, right? (Maybe you've not been reading his newsletter.)

Mr. Hickman is not so sure he's right here, so to be fair to his newsletter readers:
Because if you live, work, invest, and have everything you hold dear in one jurisdiction (which happens to be the most indebted government in the history of the world) that’s a significant risk.

With problems the size of America’s, you don’t want all your eggs in one basket.
Sovereign Man didn't get around to asking himself where these problems came from to begin with. Just keep on running...

Enough about Sovereign Man. It's Trump who brought up this insanely stupid idea, just when I'd gained a modicum of respect for the him too. This kind of off-the-cuff stupidity bothers me most when it's about this most existential issue.

I urge the Peak Stupidity reader to go to the link above to read more from the ZeroHedge commenters. These guys usually don't disappoint. All the comments I've read so far are against this stupid idea. I wish I could copy the whole thread. BTW, there are good ones under the ZH post discussed under our previous post. I don't want to become, in the fast food industry parlance, a Heavy User, but I have been enjoying the reading there.

A final though for the post: How's that Million Dollar Ticket rich immigrant plan gonna work out when the US $ has gone down the toilet and a Million bucks only gets you a 5 y/o Kia Soul with no time remaining on the warranty?****



* The website is Schiff Sovereign now, per the website. Hickman shares billing with Mr. Peter Schiff, the gold bug of the multiple Gold v Bitcoin debates Peak Stupidity has featured and commented on. Mr. Schiff may have had to backstop this man-about-the-world. Traveling the world can get costly... well, yeah, he probably lost it on some broad...

** That's not to knock it for a young man, along the vein of Rod Stewart - about that, Every Picture Tells a Story, don't it? See footnote* for a warning though.

*** That was Part 5 of our 4 year-ago series Will America be Looted by China?, that one on "The Wilderness". See also Part 1: Intro -- Part 2: Housing -- Part 3: Big Biz -- Part 4: The Fruited Plain and Part 6: Conclusion - The Golden Rule .

**** That thing and the similar-looking Honda Element give the old Pontiac Aztec a run for its money in the running for the Ugly Car Hall of Fame. (oops, I hope I didn't lose too many Aztec-owner readers with this one...) Oh, and yeah, I guess you're still covered as far as the power train.


Comments (5)




Department of Urbane Development


Posted On: Wednesday - March 5th 2025 3:28PM MST
In Topics: 
  Trump  US Feral Government  Race/Genetics



I read on ZeroHedge that HUD Terminates Obama-Era Housing Rule. If you recall, likely from reading people like Steve Sailer and VDare, this "Affirmatively Furthering Fair Housing"* business is Section 8 on steroids. It was a way to ruin suburbs, exurbs, small towns, you name it, in the same way that American cities have been ruined. One simply injects the Black! riff-raff, no border-crossing invitations even necessary.

Well, it's gone back and forth, started by the race-hustling destructive Øb☭ma (who now lives on Martha's Vineyard), suspended by Trump-45**, re-instated by Dark Brandon, and now "terminated" again by Trump-47. Yeah, but what do these terms of mine "suspended", "re-instated", and "terminated" mean legally anyway. "The AFFH rule, introduced by the Obama administration in 2015" is what the ZH article says. It was a "rule", see? Did Congress ever even get involved?

I'm glad to hear this news, a small thing in the grand scheme of things, but just another part of President Trump's Lighting War to turn things around.*** We at Peak Stupidity can be honest and be openly relieved for the White and other Americans who can breath just a bit easier in the face of possible targeted demographic destruction of their nice places. Epoch Times (ZH posts lots of their articles) writer Naveen Athrappully can't or won't say this plainly. To him it's about the bureaucracy.
it required local officials to provide answers to 92 questions on topics such as disparities in housing opportunities, according to a commentary by The Heritage Foundation. Local officials had to report data on issues such as environmental health hazards, which had little to do with affordable housing. Besides that, HUD fund recipients had to ensure that their policies and practices did not promote racial segregation.
Yeah, the big worry is all the paperwork... NOT. This quote from Utah Senator Mike Lee was more truthful and was appropriately partially bolded, at least on ZH:
“[The AFFH rule was] designed to give unelected, anonymous bureaucrats in Washington the power to pick and choose who your new next-door neighbor will be,”

“If they don’t believe your neighborhood is ‘diverse’ enough, they will seize control of local zoning decisions—choosing what should be built, where, and who should pay for it—in order to make your neighborhood look more like they want it to.”
Yup. That's what it's been about, on the portions of the 4-8 year cycle, I guess, when it's in place.

Anyway, with all that said already, that's not my point today. My point is (was?) simple: Why does every Housing and Urban Development Secretary have to be Black!? The guy in the picture is Trump's pick. We all know Trump is not down with the D.I.E. crap, far from it. Could he not personally practice what he's been preaching and Edicting?

This HUD Secretary Scott Turner may be a great guy. Was there no White man available who knows anything about Housing? How about Urban Development? Are we just admitting that Urban = Black! now in our lexicon? I can remember half a century ago that the radio format - they had formats, see? - called "Urban Contemporary" meant black music. It was a certain type, maybe a mix of soul, R&B, some light Gospel, with thankfully no (c)rap, as the latter wasn't yet around.

When I hear the word "urban" with regard to anything now my blood pressure tends to go up. So I suppose, sure, White people are not qualified to be Department Secretaries of anything urban. I have seen White people in inner cities still, but they're getting thin on the ground.

Another question arises: Why is there a Department of Housing and Urban Development still? If we (hello, DOGE guys - use paperwork as an excuse if you must) eliminated this department, there'd be no one to make such Affirmatively Furthering Fair Housing rules. Congress would need the votes to make such laws, and we could call our own Congressmen and tell them to vote nay, and ... Hey, I can dream, can't I?

Can you imagine such a civilized Constitutional-abiding society? To get it back, perhaps we need a Department of Urbane Development... headquartered in Urbana-Champaign.



* Ahhh, as I recall, it was either Mr. Sailer himself or some commenter who said that pronouncing it makes one sound like Daffy Duck. He was right!

** Though we were not happy with the job he did, these small things were still helpful to us.

*** No, it's not all good. See next post... coming soon.


Comments (4)




The Release of the J6 Political Prisoners


Posted On: Tuesday - March 4th 2025 11:20AM MST
In Topics: 
  US Police State  Trump  US Feral Government  ctrl-left  Zhou Bai Dien



Roughly a year ago, in the post Trump v Bai Dien and 2020s v 1980s, Peak Stupidity discussed the changes in American Presidential election significance over 40 years. As with the Latin American elections, nowadays the election results here can be more immediately life-changing for Americans. When your country's government, the Potomac Regime for us, takes a thousand Political Prisoners, Latin American style*, well the results of this '24 election were indeed life-changing for those J6 Political Prisoners.

Trump won, and we were hopeful a the beginning of the year about this - see, also with a little Latin American flavor, The J-6 Political Prisoners - We Hear Their Heartbeats.

Well, we know that Trump has come through for them. I'd written before that if he hadn't, I'd have had no faith that Trump-47 would be anything different from Trump-45. I'm writing this post today just because I'd forgotten to add this (now old) news to my points noting the good things that President Trump has done already, both in our recent post El Caudillo Yanqui and in comments to Mr. Hail whose essay prompted our reply post.

This move was not something that will change America's future economically or (THE most important way) demographically. It honors a promise though, and it shows that President Trump is NOT down with the US Police State and the new Banana Republicanism. One could say that this reversal is a part of all that, as per our post linked-to above, but then, does anyone really think Trump will or even would do the same thing, locking up ctrl-left protestors for years, many with without trial, as Political Prisoners? No, he wouldn't. He IS taking well-deserved revenge against those in Feral Gov't (and hopefully elsewhere, Leticia fat-assed James, hint, hint...), but all of them deserve this revenge for Rule-of-Law reasons to begin with. I suppose the ctrl-left will call everything the President does along those lines Banana Republican (or Caudillo style) tit-for-tat, but that's not the truth. The ctrl-left don't care about the truth though, so that works for them.

Let me just finish with a quick re-cap of pardons given out by Presidents. Officially, "These counts include all grants of clemency (convictions pardoned, commuted, and rescinded)." This page, which includes that definition, has the numbers, but the numbers don't tell the real story.

Going by memory for recent years, I can relate what the pardons have been about. President Carter has the highest numbers ever, due to his pardoning of 200,000 (I'm sure that's approximate) Vietnam war draft dodgers. He did this on his 1st or 2nd day in office, in 1977. Back in the Clinton days, there were pardons going out in the last days/weeks, for reasons of political payback and probably, knowing the Clintons, much monetary payback too. More of this was done by the rest, as I recall, but it was the D's like Øb☭ma who delivered pardons to help out "the cause" of leftism. However, as we all WELL recall, Dark Brandon took the Presidential pardon to a new level. He pardoned family members and groups of people who had not been convicted nor (some) even charged with crimes yet. (The last shows a whole lot of obvious implied guilt.)

President Trump's pardon of the J6 Political Prisoners is different. Done on the first day also, as no payback to anyone, this is closest to Jimmy Carter's Vietnam draft-dodger pardon executive order**. Leaving opinion on the latter out here, it shows the honesty of both of these Presidents, as opposed to the grift and dirty deals involved with the rest over recent history. Dark Brandon's pardoning of the Capitol cops involved in the J6 investigations shows how extremely corrupt this power can get.

Peak Stupidity thanks President Trump wholeheartedly for fulfilling his campaign promise to free these Political Prisoners! Yes, I noted that very day, I could have been one of them, if not for logistics difficulties. That's not the main point here though. The Brandon Administration was a period of Totalitarianism beyond what America has ever seen. Let's hope President Trump and we other Americans put an end to it more permanently.



* Wasn't that an old TV show? Tyranny, American Style?

** This may have been legally a bit different. I don't know.


Comments (8)




Celluloid Heroes sometimes really die.


Posted On: Monday - March 3rd 2025 6:18PM MST
In Topics: 
  Music  Movies  Bread and Circuses

Actor Gene Hackman, his wife, and dog dead. Nobody cares!

To be slightly more precise, I mean nobody on the Peak Stupidity staff cares. The country seems to - that's a problem for me. Bread & Circuses are bad, mmmkaaay?



I don't like the worship of Hollywood Celluloid Heroes. These are people that can act like they're someone else, reproduce human feelings, and memorize some lines for a few minutes. It's not like they work for a living or anything.

Of course, the idea is that many are very hot or handsome. This guy is not that either, not that this has anything to do with my point here. We can see those cute* and hot girls in the movies, which is much appreciated, but it doesn't mean I care a whit about what these people do off the silver screen.

I get that the death of this movie star and wife and dog with him is something of a mystery. Go read a Sherlock Holmes novel if you like that stuff. Lookit, in the week that this will be discussed throughout the Infotainment "Industry", probably dozens or hundreds of other strange/tragic events happened to other American families. But they weren't in the movies though. What's the diff?

I don't believe in Celluloid Heroes, but a band called The Kinks did. The same general principle applies. These guys made great music. What they think about Hollywood - hence the lyrics - means almost nothing to me. The song has a great melody and a great sound. I like this live version from The Kinks' excellent album One For the Road. The album is from 1979, but the band wrote the song back in '72.



The following actors and actresses are mentioned: Greta Garbo, Rudolph Valentino, Bela Lugosi, Bette Davis, George Sanders, Marilyn Monroe, and Mickey Rooney. They've got their lives' work saved in old celluloid, magnetic tape, or digital form, and we can walk on top of their stars if we give a rat's ass about Hollywood Boulevard. I have been long ago, but sorry, they're not my heroes.

That has got to be the best music Peak Stupidity has posted (first time) in a long while. The 2 minute long intro, with that synthesizer and then the great Dave Davies lead guitar, gives me chills.
I wish my life was a non-stop Hollywood movie show,
a fantasy world of celluloid villains and heroes,
because celluloid heroes never feel any pain,
and celluloid heroes never really die.
Actually, I think these Ray Davies lyrics are very good. I just don't agree, if that makes any sense.

The Kinks:

Ray Davies – guitar, harmonica, keyboards, vocals
Dave Davies – lead guitar, backing vocals
Ian Gibbons – keyboards, backing vocals
Mick Avory – drums
Jim Rodford – bass, backing vocals



* When it comes to Gene Hackman movies, I will say that an obscure one called Full Moon in Blue Water was very good. That has to do mostly with the fact that co-star Teri Garr was soooo cute.

After hearing of it for many years, I found that The French Connection sucked. It was one long chase scene. The best car chases happen on the road as in Smokey & the Bandit, Vanishing Point, and Midnight Run**, although The Blues Brothers had a decent urban car chase.

** That movie is one of my favorites. I DO happen to know some things Robert DeNiro does off the screen, like freak out about President Trump. See?

*****************************
[UPDATED 03/05:]
Changed post title to match the Kinks song.
*****************************


Comments (11)




Trump and Zelensky press conference


Posted On: Saturday - March 1st 2025 6:24PM MST
In Topics: 
  The Russians  TV, aka Gov't Media  Trump  The Neocons  World Political Stupidity

Peak Stupidity has been very surprised and mostly impressed by the actions of President Trump-47 so far. I add that "-47" to contrast his current ways with the mostly ineffective, distracted, and miserable efforts of Trump-45. We can have arguments about the Existential Issue, of course, but that can't be every post here. (VDare should be covering that, dammit! Can someone please put that fat-ass Black! political whore Leticia James out of business... anyone... anyone ... Bueller Donald?)

I haven't had so much respect for Donald Trump, because I don't care for the TV showman crap, the bragging, and the Caudillo style behavior. He's what we got, however, which will apply to another post coming. What you may want to watch below has given me quite a bit more respect for the man.

Due to all the hype about it, along with the suggestion by a commenter on ZeroHedge to watch the whole thing, I have embedded below the full 50 minute press conference by President Trump and V.* Zelensky regarding a deal to end the Ukraine/Russia war. Peak Stupidity has stated from the very beginning that we will not follow what we saw as a distraction (for Americans, that is) but more importantly something that should not be America's business. (See also this post from even earlier on.)

That was 3 years back. As usual, America, for some reason, has to act as the world's policeman, something the ctrl-left told us was very bad during the "police actions" and such of the Cold War. (They just wanted the Commies to win, without our interference.) Granted, the reason this time could be chalked up to the Potomac Regime having, if not started the whole thing, surely exacerbated the tensions and egged on the Russians 11 years ago, their already having being boxed in by NATO step by step for 2 1/2 decades prior. I suppose diplomacy is being more like the world's Judge Judy rather than the policeman, the former a lot cheaper.

If there is to be diplomacy, President Trump has impressed me with his ability to do it. He is that "Art of the Deal" guy, something I derided when he sucked at it last term (thinking more domestically then). Besides that the whole video gives us a view of Trump as a negotiator and diplomat, the first 40 minutes explains the latter part that is causing all the hype, as the peace deal probably has been cancelled. The latter is a big story involving and explaining a divide growing between America and Europe. (I would write "Western ..", but then I will mention a Polish reporter down below.) Comments below the video.



I don't see the same campaign-rally-Trump, the guy that talks round and round in circles, or the Joe Rogan 3-hour interview (catching OCD was the only way to get through it!) rambling and blabbing about TV Trump. What a difference there is, not just between Trump and senile old Brandon, but even between him and your Bushes, Øb☭mas, and Clintons. Obviously more lucid than Brandon, Trump was in his element and came across much more honest and straightforward than those others did in their day. (Granted, that may not be intelligence so much as they had Regime lies to support.)

There were just a couple of digressions. Early on, Trump spun off the subject to tout his first 30-35 day's worth of action. That was only a minute or two, kind of like an embedded commercial break. After the big blow up (48 min. in), while discussing Putin, he got into that Hunter, Joe, laptop, and Lyin' Press Russia! Russia! Russia!** travesty. He's completely right on this, and it's not actually that off-topic. Trump's point in bringing up the BS story of Russia's having influenced the '16 election is that it used Putin as one of the bad guys (Trump being the other, of course). What kind of foreign relations is that, the Lyin' Press ginning up a 3-year-long story and great distraction for Trump (the point of it, IMO), making an important foreign leader the evil protagonist? That's not at all helpful to the cause of world peace.

A true classic Trump literal-LOL gem occurred after a CNN reporter's questions starting at ~ 37 min in. Trump had a good answer, but then added that CNN "oughta focus right now on survival." ;-} I am still highly amused thinking of this right now!

Some Polish reporter asked a question, but it was one of those that was really a big statement. The man mentioned the horrible time (40 years) of being under the control of the Soviet Union and Communism. He seems very worried about Russia coming across Europe, as if this were 1985 at the Fulda Gap. This is the reason the Europeans in general seem to (or use in pretense) to support the Ukraine. It's Domino Theory 2.0. To me, Trump missed a great opportunity then to retort that "Yeah, that country was the USSR, see? We're talking about Russia now."

The idea for the press conference was to show progress, and that everyone was going to be happy, and peace will break out, not to air grievances and hash it out in front of the press. Besides that Zelensky interrupted Trump, while Trump did not interrupt him, at points, this thing looked like a Sunday morning talking heads TV show. That would have been OK in private. Guess who else was watching besides Peak Stupidity.

Finally, as to the last 10 minutes that has been The Big Story. You don't do diplomacy the way V. Zelensky acted throughout the first 40 minutes. The last straw was at that 40 minute mark or so. Zelensky kept inserting his animosity and Putin-is-monster opinions and anecdotes throughout, as Trump did as a diplomat should, not trying to favor either side. Whatever the 2 (or with Rubio and Vance too) talked about before, Zelensky obviously went off script much of the press conference due to his hopes in changing things to a deal in which America supports the Ukraine. He couldn't help himself, but he screwed the pooch. His idea would be the same-old-same-old wartime, except with some minerals changing hands.***

I imagine Trump didn't like much of this talk all along, but he looked down and kept his cool. He may have been thinking "This may not work out if this keeps up." Still, Trump's ability to keep a stance of fairness may have worked out until Zelensky went way overboard, interrupting Trump again with an anti-Putin rant. Hey, maybe he was even speaking the truth there, but that's how you ruin a deal. He did. Trump can't go agreeing with this, and then, what, tell Putin that was just for show?

After this, well, things got real, real quickly, out in front of everyone. I think that's why this is a big story - it's some actual Reality TV.**** One can see the last part elsewhere, but please watch the whole thing to get a feel of: a) What really happened, and how you DON'T do diplomacy, no fault of Trump's whatsoever and b) How impressive Trump can be as a diplomat, were he not to get blindsided by the airing of grievances inappropriately.


PS: I had 3 other posts, some of which should be up here today, but they'll have to wait until next blog-week. America v Europe is one, then a couple of short ones I'd spoil by mentioning, and I have been thinking about the topic of deflation.



* I just plain don't feel like spelling it - not my problem - how about Americanize (?) it to Vlad.

** Trump said it this way. I had no idea this was the terminology in broad use. I'd thought Peak Stupidity started this first. Does the President read here?

*** Trump LUVS him some Raw Earth, haha! Does he not mean Rare Earth metals? That's a chemical term, but then what does the Art of the Deal guy need to know about no periodic table? Still, someone's got to correct him at some point, right?

**** Trump made some remark along these lines too.


Comments (10)




El Caudillo Yanqui


Posted On: Thursday - February 27th 2025 6:53PM MST
In Topics: 
  Trump  Pundits

(Not to be confused with Los Banditos Yanquis down Bolivia way - really they were just old movie characters Butch Cassidy and the Sundance Kid, Paul Newman and Robert Redford, respectively. That movie is now 56 years old. Yikes!)



Per Mr. Hail, this image comes from a Washington Post article by one Ishaan Tharoor.


Writer E. H. Hail, of the Hail to You blog has a new essay up, The Trump-as-Caudillo theory revisited: Fighting Third Worldization through another form of Third Worldization?. This is something of a follow-up to a section within an essay of his from Nov. '24, The Sailer Strategy vs. the Trump Caudillo Strategy.

While I like and agree with the analysis, description, and depiction of President Trump as The American Caudillo (explained well within Mr. Hail's posts), I don't agree that this Third-Worldification (to fight Third-Worldificiation) is a bad thing. Note, by the former, Mr. Hail means the Banana Republicanism and King/Big Man style behavior of a man who rules by Executive Edicts, excuse me, Orders, coming out by the dozens(?) daily. By the latter, he means the demographic Third-Worldliness by invasion that we elected Trump to fight.

This is the point often brought up by Constitutionalists. "No, they aren't abiding by it, but we can't fight them unConstitutionally, or we're being just like them!"* You've probably heard/read this in various forms. "You don't play whiffle ball, when they're playing hardball." "Don't bring a knife to a gunfight.". Whatever. Well, if you let your nation get rolled by the Globalists/Communists, they aren't going to let you restore the old American Constitution. Most importantly, you've got to win!

Now, I'm not sure that Mr. Hail is particularly against the use of E.O.s for now.. Let me digress here to say that Trump HAS gotten the US Congress involved, something Peak Stupidity has been ranting about since last term - if you don't make anything into actual law, it can and will be used against you be changed on Day 1 of the next King... yes, used against you. It was. Trump really has learned a lot in 4 years off, even amongst all the distractions of lawfare and assassination attempts!

I understand the unAmerican-ness of the whole Gulf of America renaming, the Greenland thing, and even the Ukraine mineral resources as payback for arms supplies. (I get that he likes the Art of the Deal, but how about he stick to his instincts, and ours, that we just remove ourselves from involvement - period?) However, I am both surprised and impressed by what the Trump-47 Administration has gotten started on and gotten done in these first 5 weeks.

There's already discussion under Mr. Hail's post, so let me paste the following I've already written:

You wrote: In certain isolated respects, we can say 2025 is better than 2017.

I would not say isolated myself. We both agree that the Immigration Invasion is THE existential and far-most-important issue. I’ll write another comment about that, because there is a lot to it. The numbers on the outflow are not very serious yet, I agree.

However, rather than isolated, I see the many efforts Trump is making against the ctrl-left and Globalists as a barrage or a blitzkrieg. Granted, that doesn’t go against your theme of Trump acting like a Banana Republican Caudillo. This executive order business is of course, unConstitutional and un-American, but I’m sure you read Peak Stupidity bids Hello to Kings, in which I reckoned that if this is the way it goes these days, I’d rather have “our King” in place.

He ditched the Paris Accords, same as late time. That one may not sound important, but Trump understands a scam – the Climate Calamity™, that is – when he sees one. The often successful attempts at control of whole big sectors of economies based on this scam must be stopped. Trump knows that.

It’s just words, but the Wokeness, as with the Chinese Cultural Revolution, starts with words and goes on. Of course, its precursor AA and now D.I.E. is more than words. This campaign to wipe it out in the Feral Gov’t is a great start, because Big Biz follows, generally, in this Crony Capitalist system we’ve got.

Yes, USAID is peanuts in terms of money, but just the new visibility into the extreme corruption and worse (using our money to create and support NeoCon, Globalist, and Communist fiefdoms is a great thing. The pain of those being unfunded is delicious.

There’s a lot more, most of it which might have been promised by the man in ’15-’16 but never even got started.

I wrote more on immigration therein, but let me leave that for now and get back to addressing Mr. Hail's point as it is in his title.

I will now be the kid at school going "But he started it!" Teachers never seemed to like that, but it's a perfectly valid point. This slide into complete unConstitutionality (most especially Amendment X) has been underway for over half a century, but the Bai Dien administration lowered the slope drastically. The very Bills of Attainder** style lawfare on Trump were part of it. Caudillo Trump may be seen as enacting retribution (we discussed this here before the fact), but all of it aligns with proper punishment for traitorous acts against America and blatant violations of the Constitution.

I've stated it this way before: What Trump is personally angry about lines up pretty well with what MAGA Americans want right now.

Can Trump go after these people, enough to squash them for long enough to get things done, by the book, Constitutionally, with all due process and procedures and benefit of the doubt? We don't doubt who they are - they need to be squashed.

Please read Mr. Hail's essay to get his side of the question, but let me excerpt just a small part:

A caudillo regime (or Caudillo Strategy), if totally divided from a firm moral-ideological commitment — an ideology that is coherent and honorable, and which makes sense beyond slogans, personal whims, and close-in patronage networks — can become a little ridiculous, can sometimes turn dangerous, and eventually always undermines the state and civic culture. It’s generally a bad thing. Government on a basis of demagogic drifting along feelings-of-the-moment is a bad thing per se. White-Western people have known this for centuries. The tendency against this sort of rule might be said to trace back to prehistoric ancient times and the emergence of Western Man millennia ago (which is the argument of the political philosopher Curt Doolittle).

________________


Caudilloism is not a solution to Third Worldization. Caudilloism is Third Worldization.
I've written before that Trump doesn't have solid principles. I also see his use of his family members as Third-Worldly. On that, however, the way things went for Trump-45, he couldn't trust the people working for him. (That's the case when you are working to destroy the Swamp and the livelihoods of the Swamp creatures.). He IS a braggart and a showman, and definitely not your Coolidge-era government official, as I imagine one.

He's what we've got though, and, I think he IS doing a bang-up job right now. Will this Thirdwordization via Caudillo Banana Republicanism be reversible? That's not likely with the demographic changes going on... which simply leads us again to the fact that if Trump doesn't do the job on immigration, what's the point of anything else?



* Ultra-Constitutionalist Ron Paul is still against eVerify, for example. The intrusion on privacy it entails is over-a-century-old water under the bridge though.

** I'm thinking especially of the deal in Georgia in which the Statute of Limitations for the BS "crime" Trump was charged with was extended just to charge him.


Comments (11)




Roots ZeroHedge post explains the Rock & Hard Place thing


Posted On: Wednesday - February 26th 2025 12:31PM MST
In Topics: 
  Websites  Global Financial Stupidity  Economics

The post discussed here hearkens back to the old ZeroHedge roots, from when I'd read it thoroughly (all articles and comments, most days) a dozen years ago. They've branched out to all things politics since then, but I like the basics.



Of course, with ZeroHedge, there usually is a sales pitch somewhere. As I wrote in an old post, The Non-Science of Economics, ZH commenters would rightly rail against the system while still discussion how to make a buck within it. ZeroHedge's "Tyler Durden(s)" and others have always been gold/silver bugs, hence the hook in the headline and recent story Gold Revaluation: Solution Or Desperation?* However, precious metals are not the point as far as this post goes.

The writer here gets the Rock & Hard Place thing, the situation America's economy (along with many others around the world) is in. You make serious cuts to the budget, and, due to the near-irreversibility** of Socialism, people will be financially hurting. If you don't do that, you won't be able to pay off the debt, even as you struggle to by holding interest rates in the basement. Then, inflation happens, and people are financially hurting. Let rates rise, and the interest expenses rise to where, at some point, psychologically, everyone realizes the budget is a bust and the $ will become worthless. There's no easy way out - it's financial pain one way or another. Speaking of pain, yes, the horse is dead, so I'll stop.

Let me excerpt the boring part:
Boring Bond Yields
Given that the USA in particular (and the world in general) is witnessing the greatest debt crisis of human history, should we not be equally concerned rather than politically divided when it comes to such boring things like bond yields (which reflect the very cost of debt)?

As for those boring bond yields, let’s just keep it broad and simple.

Yields on the 10-year U.S. Treasury represent the cost of money/debt for nearly everyone on the globe, in general and Uncle Sam in particular.

This means that when those yields start to climb too high, just about everything and everyone (including the country you reside in) starts to fall deeper into “uh-oh.”

And those yields rise when demand (i.e., purchasing) of those bonds starts to fall.
Read that last line again. Let it sink in.

When trust, love and/or demand and price for UST’s falls, pain for just about everything but the USD (and now gold) spikes.

Boring? Yes.

But relevant?

Absolutely.

From Boring Bonds to Just About Everything
So, what does such boring bond/UST talk have to do with your currency, your wealth or your lives?

And what does such boring bond talk have to do with market risk, gold prices, BTC’s direction or the fate of Trump’s America or even world trade and peace?

A lot.
Along with Mr. Piepenburg's Only Desperate Options Left (4 of them) and the case for gold, discussion of President Trump's role in all this follows. Trump's Treasury Secretary is one Scott Bessent. This writer reckons Mr. Bessent knows the score. "And deep down, Scott Bessent (a private gold buyer) knows this, too." What can he do? What can Trump do, even if he did have his own ideas on the matter? It's musical chairs (ahhh, an old-timey ZH theme). Sooner or later the music will stop, and the President, the guy standing, will get the blame. Why should he stop the music himself, by not continuing to contain interest rates in the basement?

DOGE may make bigger inroads than I have ever imagined, or CAN, imagine, but, no. We're between a rock and a hard place. If you can't get what Peak Stupidity has been preaching here, that great ZeroHedge article explains it pretty simply and concisely . And, of course, Gold, Bitchez!

Actual final words: "So, yes, gold gets the last laugh – but the circumstances couldn’t be sadder." Yep.


PS: The Immigration Invasion is the biggest and most important issue for President Trump to work on. I agree with Mr. Hail on this, but we don't agree on how much good Trump has been doing, coming up to Week 6. Please see the latest and greatest Hail To You post with Mr. Hail's viewpoint of Donald Trump as El Caudrillo Yanqui***. I'll write more on his post and Trump's efforts shortly, but back to Climate stupidity and a few other flavors too.





* This post comes originally from one Matthew Piepenburg of VonGreyerz.gold.

** Socialism increases entropy, let me put it that way.

*** The actual post title is The Trump-as-Caudillo theory revisited: Fighting Third Worldization through another form of Third Worldization?.


Comments (3)




The new pie charts are out!


Posted On: Monday - February 24th 2025 9:00PM MST
In Topics: 
  Global Financial Stupidity  Economics  US Feral Government  Taxes

That is the same thing Peak Stupidity excitedly exclaimed last year, almost to the day. We showed these simple graphics out of the IRS 1040 tax instruction booklet .pdf multiple times before too, here - - here - - here and here.

No, we're not excited about the income tax, particularly the paying of it. My wife noticed some chatter on anti-social media about people thinking of blowing off this deal this year in the hopes of a Trump/DOGE complete overhaul of the Feral budgetary system. I mean, who'd want to be the one paying a big bill on April 15th, if the whole thing were to be thrown out a week later?

Well, that's very hopeful of these people, but no, it ain't gonna happen. One might start to compare this to the student loan debtors who were hoping for Dark Brandon's attempted voter bribery loan forgiveness to stick. That's not a good analogy, as those debtors got into their own messes, with help from yet another Big Gov moral hazard, while NONE of us opted into the Feral Income tax. Anyway, I'll wait until that cruelest day. I like the pie charts though, so here's the one from the '24 1040-Instructions .pdf, that is, for the '23 fiscal year (page 108):



What do you make of that, Johnny? Well, I can make a broach, a hat, a tetradactyl! , I note that slice of pie going to "net interest" is quite a bit bigger than the last number of years' 5-8%.* 11% of the '23 fiscal year Feral Budget expenditures went to interest. "Not so bad," one might say, "That's just like an average family, what with mortgage payments made up mostly of interest, car payments, credit cards paid at the minimum." (At Lake Peak Stupidity, we are all above average - hopefully we aren't quite so much like that.)

Now, there are many ways to categorize those expenditures, with hundreds of thousands of programs that are all about spending the money of those who may get poor pore over this 1040 instruction booklet. This time around, I'll paste in the IRS's take on those pieces of pie:
1. Social security, Medicare, and other retirement: These programs provide income support for the retired and disabled and medical care for the elderly.

2. National defense, veterans, and foreign affairs: About 13% of outlays were to equip, modernize, and pay our armed forces and to fund national defense activities; about 5% were for veterans benefits and services; and about 1% were for international activities, including military and economic assistance to foreign countries and the maintenance of U.S. embassies abroad.

3. Physical, human, and community development: These outlays were for
agriculture; natural resources; environment; transportation; aid for elementary
and secondary education and direct assistance to college students; job training; deposit insurance, commerce and housing credit, and community development; and space, energy, and general science programs.

4. Social programs: About 17% of total outlays were for Medicaid, Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (formerly food stamps), temporary assistance for needy families, supplemental security income, and related programs; and 6% for health research and public health programs, unemployment compensation, assisted housing, and social services.
Whatever. It's glorious to see the DOGE at least take a good stab at some of this. Still, as Peak Stupidity has been ranting about since our beginnings, the long-term gains from eliminating Big Government are great, but there must necessarily be much shorter-term financial pain when you back out of a hole like this.

Here's the hole again: That 11% is of $6.135 Trillion spent. See, the 11% is just half the story here. In fact, the '23 expenditures are actually 2% lower than last years'. (See postscript of last years' post.) Well, that's good... but the end-of-fiscal-year '23 debt is ~ $2.6 Trillion, or 8% higher than eofy-22 debt. Last time, we calculated - very simply, interest paid (pie slice % x total pie expenditures) / debt - we arrived at a 1.4% net** interest rate. For eofy '23, the interest paid was 11% x $6.135 Trillion = $674 Billion. The net interest rate was $0.674 Billion / $34 Trillion (debt at end of '23) = 2% (very close to that). What happens if interest rates on the bonds being redeemed are up at 6%, even if the debt would be kept constant by a Hyper-DOGE that has cut the deficit to 0? That piece of pie would be 33%, right at a third of all expenditures BUT, and a big but, 46% of the $4.441 tax collected (the left-hand pie). I'm sorry, but that's just not a good look for a country.

Peak Stupidity appreciates the till-01/20/25-unimaginable efforts by Trump & the DOGE to point out and cut slices out of the massive Feral Beast. However, we're just between a rock and hard place. I found a very good ZeroHedge article, one of the best I've read in years, to back up what I'm saying. We'll get to that soon. Until then, errr, keep yawning... sorry... we'll have plenty of other stupidity mixed in that doesn't require the green eyeshades.



* The 8% was in '19, and it was down to 5% in '21. That's good, right? I think the '21 sector was so low only due to it being in comparison to the Kung Flu Panic big spending going on.

** Why "net"? This has something to do with which and how Treasury bonds are redeemed and issued, I believe.


Comments (13)




Tony Flenderson's gift to Climate Alarmists: Best Fit Linear Regression - Part 2


Posted On: Saturday - February 22nd 2025 9:18PM MST
In Topics: 
  Global Climate Stupidity  Science

First, it's funny cause it's true... and REAL:


We have to SCARE The Planet in order to save it!... or at least KILL the economy! OK, moving on ...

Tony Heller, EE, Geologist, and Climate Sanitist, made this 13 minute video, My Gift to Climate Alarmists. After you watch it, let me explain the gift bit, as this doesn't detract from the amazing (due to the exposure of SO MUCH blatant graphical lying) points he makes.

Perhaps that math lesson of earlier today was a little overboard. Most PS readers would easily understand the basic idea without the math - come up with a best fit curve, usually a line, to fit observational data. That would include data of climate (T's, ice cover, number of Cat 5 hurricanes, whatever) over time that is used to ascertain whether The Planet is gonna boil or something.

Watch and see the simple way that Climate Alarmists screw around with their Linear Regression obtained lines designed to alarm people. Most people don't get into the numbers enough to catch their lying via graphs.



Yes, easy-peasy - just pick the perfect time scale to make The Planet look well and truly screwed. Mr. Heller offers to help these Climatological frauds with their work. He's facetious, but then he sounds serious about his software.

Sometimes the cleverness in an idea is in the thinking of it, not the implementation. Mr. Flenderson's software does something simple, at least it is in the day of almost unlimited computing power and speed. The idea is obvious once you've thought of it: Let a computer program find the time range (x-axis here), with a beginning and end that give the most alarming best-fit line. In other words, do a meta best-fit based on all possible ranges that you have data on (or admit to having data on*) to get the "best" best-fit line. By "best" we mean the most alarmist.**

Again, this idea is ready-made for a computer program. Instead of the Climatologist having to play with his ranges on a spreadsheet to get the curve that helps get the most funding, he will be able to let the program just spit out exactly what he needs. Wallah! There's your paper for the journal, some accolades in the New York Times, more funding, and maybe an interview on TV one day.

Thank you, Toby. Now get back to the annex.


PS: The steady rise in sea levels shown in the video is interesting and something I hadn't known about. This goes way back, at a rate of just over an inch per decade, so 1 ft per century. Florida beaches have only been crowded with residents for under a century, but those are the places that would notice. Has anyone?


* I watched the video a few days back, but I remember that to get one good best-fit line, the Alarmists stated that there wasn't satellite data for earlier. Toby shows that there indeed was, and it was used elsewhere.

** One can let the software do a brute-force approach, running through all possible ranges to the get that "best fit". OTOH, we can do some more math beforehand... Make a bigger function that includes the variables tstart and tend, then take 4 partial derivatives to get the minimum of that 5D surface and ... OK, OK! Nevermind. "You never go full geek!"


Comments (2)




Toby Heller's gift to Climate Alarmists: Best Fit Linear Regression - Part 1


Posted On: Saturday - February 22nd 2025 8:51AM MST
In Topics: 
  Global Climate Stupidity  Science

His name is *Tony* Heller. The Peak Stupidity reader will have to forgive us for occasionally accidentally-on-purpose calling him Toby Heller, Tony Flenderson, or Toby Flenderson. See, this guy is one of the scientists featured in the educational video Climate: The Movie (The Cold Truth). (Please check it out - the whole movie is there.) Tony Heller is a Geologist, Environmentalist, and Electrical Engineer, but a die-hard The Office fan would have a hard time not seeing the uncanny, or at least not very canny at all, resemblance between him and timid, butt-of-the-jokes HR representative Toby Flenderson. That's the case with both his looks and his voice, the latter only of which is in this short video I came upon.

Mr. Flenderson Heller calls some math/computer work he's done a "gift" not due to this video's exposing just one method* the Climate Alarmists use to mislead the public. It's that he's facetiously offering his software tool to help them do this misleading more easily.

The video will appear in the next post, as I really want to get to the math first. Our title here is somewhat facetious itself. "A linear best-fit 'curve'" and "Linear Regression" are the same thing. The joke is that Mr. Heller has expanded the use of Linear Regression to best fit Climate Alarmists' needs! Another best-fit (groan) term for this analysis is "Method of Least Squares".**



In this upcoming video, Toby shows a graphic with a dozen or so different highly alarming climate graphs and then shows the subterfuge behind each (or most of them). All of them are single variable attempted correlations of supposed climate trends to time, as in "The sky is falling!".

The math: You've got a graph like the one above, and you want to find the "best-fit" curve, often a line, to keep things simple. What's the best fit? Well, you 'd probably want to minimize the average error (distance from the y-values of the points) from said line. What line?! Why, mx + b, of course. Every line can be written in this slope and y-intercept (where the line would cross the y-axis) fashion. Yeah, but we don't know m and we don't know b! Right, that's the point, but what we DO KNOW is all of the many x and y values of our observational (the case with the climate) or experimental data. Call the points (x1, y1), (x2, y2), etc, or (xn, yn), where n goes from 1 to the last one of your data points. These are all KNOWN, keep in mind.

So, you take the difference between each point's actual yn value and the y from y = mxn + b. Yeah, but you don't know the equation for that line. Just humor me, and pretend we do. That's how mathematicians think. (It works.) Let's sum up all the differences over all those points, between the actual y's that we've got and the y's were they on the line and minimize that sum to get the best-fit line. Those differences will each be yn - (mxn + b).

Well, a couple of things crop up. First, numbers below said line and others above might start cancelling each other out - they'd make a line look like a great fit, when the data is all over the place. OK, then, just square these differences to get rid of the negatives. Do we need to take the square root later though? No, we don't, because we really don't care about the total sum of differences in the end but just about minimizing such. That square root would make the math messy. Nobody likes that, even, no, especially, the geeks.

What about that minimization thing? We want to find that line, the "m" and the "b" that gives us the least (see?) sum of these squares (see?). We've got one long function with lots of constants we know, the data pairs (xn, yn), with m and y being variables. How do we minimize a function? Take its derivative, and set it equal to 0! That's not me shouting, that's a Professor from untold years ago shouting, because, by George, we got it and were saying it with him.

The derivative*** of a function gives the slope of that function, and, unless said function is itself a line, the derivative is a function itself. When we are at a maximum or minimum, the slope of the function at that coordinate(s) = 0. So we solve for the coordinate(s) such that the derivative = 0. Wait which is it, max or min? Well, we'd have to take the 2nd derivative, that is, the derivative of the 1st derivative function. That 2nd function tells the slope of the slope curve. If it's negative at that coordinate(s), well it's a maximum, because, going along, the slope is decreasing, from upwards though 0, and then downwards. Vice versa applies.

Ahaaa! Is that what Peak Stupidity's Title Bar, up for over 8 years now, is all about? Indeed, BUT, we put in the fancy Greek δ's (deltas) just to make it look more mathy. (Yes, welcome math geeks!) For a derivative of a function of one variable, the symbology for derivative has plain old English "d"'s instead. However, what we have in this Least Squares/Linear Regression problem IS a function of 2 variables (hence, the "(s)" written after "coordinate" above).



Remember that the function we're minimizing is NOT that line y = mx + b, but it's that sum of the squares of the differences between the yn's and the y's of the best-fit unknown line. It's a function of 2 variables, m and b. This can be imagined easily, as it looks like a 2-d surface, its height a function of the variables m and b on a plot on the paper.**** (See above, but you don't really NEED the color scheme unless your are one of those Alarmists. Then, it helps, a lot.) There is a lowest point on the surface, for which both m and b are minimum values.*****

To get these, we must take partial derivatives, one for each variable. Doing that means we treat one variable as a constant while we take the derivative of the function "with respect to" (important wording) the other. Partial derivatives make use of that small Greek δ's instead of "d".****** We set each of these resulting partial derivative functions = 0. We end up with 2 equations and 2 unknowns. This should be easy. Well, I'd forgotten that maybe I never did actually do this part in the past. It should be easy, but I'm kind of scared by the Σ's I'll leave this trivial exercise for the reader. We get the following:

Picture "n" subscripts for each x and y there.



The calculations with all these various sums look like a lot of work, but one can see that they are perfectly made for use of a spreadsheet. That wouldn't be hard. Better yet, though, the spreadsheet programs have long, long had the Linear Regression functions built in them. Graph your stuff and right-click somewhere, and Wallah! - there's your best fit line. (Or if you want, a higher-order polynomial or maybe all kinds of things.) Computing power is nearly free!

That's what the Climate Alarmists do. They probably couldn't understand this math, but they can use spreadsheets. Wait, so is Peak Stupidity upset because these people are using the 200 y/o simple Linear Regression math to show us our bleak carbon-wrecked future? It seems perfectly scientific and all.

I'll put the short video up later today, and you'll see what they're up to. The Peak Stupidity reader likely already knows the form of lying to be addressed, but Tony Flenderson will explain it nicely. (Beats filling out HR D.I.E. paperwork.)




* Another, also simple-math-based method will be described herein, as learned during an on-line argument with an Unz Review commenter about ice mass at the Earth's poles.

** This term does not apply only to linear regression. It can be used for best fit polynomials, or I guess, whatever.

*** For a polynomial function, taking the derivative is a simple easy procedure.

**** Once you get to 3 variables or more, good luck imagining the function's shape. Certain drugs may help.

***** How do we know we'll get a minimum vs. a maximum with the Calculus here? Ahhhhh, well, it's got to be a minimum because [hand-waving ensues]... there is a reason within the math.

****** Could the value of Stupidity be a function of more than one variable - it's time right now - so we can use those fun δ's legitimately? Why not have a variable "d", which is distance from... the nearest border or coastline of California?


******************************************
[UPDATED 02/22 Eve.:]
Added the 3-D plot graphic.
******************************************
******************************************
[UPDATED 02/23:]
Updated the 2 equation graphic.
******************************************


Comments (14)




MOAR sob stories!


Posted On: Thursday - February 20th 2025 11:44AM MST
In Topics: 
  Immigration Stupidity  Music  Media Stupidity



Peak Stupidity's order of posting is often nothing but random "what do I feel like today?" items. Some are from on-the-spot thoughts, but there's usually a back-log of both recently thought-of posts and long-pondered ones. Speaking of the latter we'll get to those thoughts on deflation (along with another example of hidden inflation), and some long-due Climate Calamity™ debunkment, yeah, with graphs and everything.

Our bread & butter, were we making any money here to buy it with, would be the Immigration Invasion Existential Issue for America. We've discussed the Deportation program with excitement, mostly here, but with a little bit more on perfect sob-story target here. Is President Trump just making a show of it right now, albeit at least trying to clean up the violent riff-raff imported most recently?

From the numbers, things don't look promising. They may be on the order of 1,000 a day*, meaning only those most violent and recent arrivals could be kicked out with a year to two. That's not good enough. Even 10x the current numbers, though 10,000 deportations daily would be extremely encouraging, would mean a decade and a half timeline to really take care of the illegal side of the problem. That is IF, and a big IF, the program stays in place.

There'll be sob stories. The Border Tsar** Tom Homan does a nice job making use of the sob stories, from what I've seen. To paraphrase "Yeah, that's sad for them. They shouldn't have illegal entered. You know what's sadder? Emergency Rooms closing, higher housing prices, oh, and murders, rapes, drunk driving accidents ..." Here's hoping Mr. Homan will not be reined or reigned in by Administration cowards or Trump himself, the latter for whatever stupid reason.

Yeah, these guys are focused right now on the DOGE findings which are both financial AND, more importantly, political matters. That stuff has been great. President Trump is also fighting the D.I.E. evil very well. I praise him for all this. However, he CANNOT drop the ball on the Immigration Invasion, or the rest is really for naught.

I wrote the intro. paragraph to explain that the yahoo story captured above is almost a month old. Writers Douglas Magno with Facundo Fernandez Barrio in Sao Paolo of AFP (I dunno.) are sad, as Brazil slams US after dozens of deportees arrive handcuffed. OMG, handcuffs!

Per people I know, some of the worst of the Salvadorans, those with the MS-13 tattoos all over, are shot upon arrival in San Salvador, so, wearing handcuffs for 4 hours kind of pales in comparison. Brazil's government has expressed outrage though.
When the plane landed in the northern city of Manaus, Brazilian authorities ordered US officials to "immediately remove the handcuffs," the justice ministry said in a statement.

Justice Minister Ricardo Lewandowski told President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva of "the flagrant disregard for the fundamental rights of Brazilian citizens," the statement said.
Well, yeah, that was the problem to begin with - they're Brazilian citizens, not Americans. By all means, take off the handcuffs, IN BRAZIL. Now, some of the problems the 88 passengers illegal aliens encountered sounded a bit tough. One Luis Antonio Rodrigues Santos, a 21-year-old freelancer, sobbed:
"Things have already changed (with Trump), immigrants are treated as criminals," he said.
By Jorge! I think he's got it!

I want to see more and more of these sob stories. There seems to be a lull, which is not a good sign. More sob stories = more serious deportations going on. Not only that, but were the deportation numbers to go up to levels like 10,000/day, the sob stories would greatly encourage self-deportations, easily bringing the timetable down by a factor of 5 to 10!

So please, Lyin' Press, don't listen to Chrissy Hynde!




Yes, we've featured this song before. I realize it was written by the great British band The Kinks, I listened to their version and it didn't compare to The Pretenders', this song being their very 1st single. YMMV.



* As Mr. Hail has noted, no larger than that during Bai Dien's reign. OTOH, I hasten to add that the numbers coming in are way down. That's a start, is all - the incoming numbers could be set to 0 anytime with the military presence Trump has sent.

** Gonna go with the old Russian spelling today - see some background. (Ha! That post of ours has 28 uses of the term, and all of them are spelled with a "c".)


Comments (10)




Sharp Aldi's Employees on the look-out


Posted On: Wednesday - February 19th 2025 11:54AM MST
In Topics: 
  General Stupidity  Humor  Economics  Muh Generation

If you ever see a black thug passing off some of these bills, first thing you do, let him overdose on fentanyl all on his own.



Yeah, but it was a White guy this time, one Richard Seeger, who was reported by ZeroHedge to have been passing 2 Dollar bills off at the Monticello, New York Aldi. Monticello is a village of 7,000 people in the Catskill "mountains" region (western portion of the southern part of "Upstate" New York. Yep, they've got an Aldi - Aldi is big now.

Mr. Steger is, or was, a regular there, but 2 cashiers dismissed his phony baloney money as obviously fake. I mean, come on! Personally, if I were to make up a new denomination of US currency, I'd print up $200 bills and put Harriet Tubwoman on the face. ("Yeah, you know, they finally, at long last, pushed this thing through. She build the Transcontinental Railway, you know, pounded in that last golden spike, she did!")

Whoever heard of 2 dollar bills, supposedly with Thomas Jefferson on the front and John Trumbull's famous painting of the signing of the Declaration of Independence on the back? The 2 young cashiers, per ZeroHedge, were onto this counterfeiting scheme right away:
The cashier claimed the phrase "THIS NOTE IS LEGAL TENDER FOR ALL DEBTS, PUBLIC AND PRIVATE" indicated a fake, a clear misunderstanding of its meaning (debatable, we know).
Who writes that on the money?! I never ... These young people could have used the method I often explain to people to help detect counterfeit 1's. "Fold the bill thusly. OK, what do you see in between?" "An eye." [of George Washington] "OK. If you see an asshole there instead, it's counterfeit."

More on this anecdote from ZH:
He then handed the bills to a female coworker. The woman asked if the young man had checked the bills with a counterfeit marker.

Steger wrote: “He whispered ‘no, they’re fake.’ So, without even checking them, she rudely and arrogantly told me, ‘We’re not accepting them!’”
OK, Zoomers!
Aldi did not respond to The Post’s request for comment.
They never do. That is, especially when it's THAT embarrassing.

My friend likes these twos and spends them widely. I think I'll try to get some at the bank and have some fun. Back in the late '90s, I had a pack of Clinton 3-Dollar bills. Hilarity ensued.


Comments (13)




DIMS? - Revenue replacement of Income Tax by Tariffs


Posted On: Tuesday - February 18th 2025 2:23PM MST
In Topics: 
  Trump  Pundits  Economics  US Feral Government  Taxes



DIMS is an acronym for Does It Make Sense. Oh, of course, the idea of scrapping the personal, or any and ALL, Federal income tax and replacing that revenue with tariffs does make sense in that it would be a great return to a state of much more Liberty and a return to our country's roots*. It'd be VERY welcome to the Peak Stupidity crowd, and hopefully and likely, most Americans. We listed the Top 5 evils of the personal income tax in our Part 3 of our discussion of the odious Constitutional Amendment XVI.** Believe it or not, "The Money!" did not make it to #1 on the list!

In this post, the DIMS? question applies to the even-keeled, still-too NeoCon, but Libertarian and common-sense-oriented Instapundit. He's, in actuality, University of Tennessee Law Professor Glenn Reynolds. Besides his famous blog - one of the first I can recall - Professor Reynolds writes weekly(?) columns for The New York Post***, possibly still USA Today, and he also has a substack column. It's all pretty fair and reasonable, but this Law Professor made a simple mistake in his latest, Abolishing the Income Tax.

Much of what Glenn Reynolds relied on for his substack post comes from the substack post DOGE and Military Cuts Could Enable Eliminating Individual Income Tax by one Brian Wang.**** I like the optimism, the attention to the details of what could be cut included in Mr. Wang's post. The discussion of tariffs is an afterthought in his post, with different numbers, but Glenn Reynolds refers to his important number of $1.2 Trillion in spending that could be cut. Then, though, Professor Reynolds says DOGE may cut $2 Trillion, not $1 Trillion, in annual spending. I don't think so.

Peak Stupidity recently murmured "Uhhh, no..." when it comes to the $1 Trillion in cuts. This Brian Wang, along with those doing the work (work?! It must be a blast!), think otherwise. I'd be glad to stand sit here corrected. I've read various numbers on how much of Social Security pay-out money is fraudulent. There is surely loads of fraud with Medicare/aide, with a significant illegal alien element. The military budget most assuredly CAN be cut, more than in half, quite safely, but we'll see how that goes. I don't know - perhaps I was pessimistically wrong. Perhaps it CAN be done accounting-wise, without hurting those reliant on the SS and Healthcare, but CAN it be done politically?

If the deficit, the amount the national debt goes FURTHER into the red each year, can be cut in half, I'll be amazed. However, that leaves another $Trillion added to the debt each year, roughly '10s levels of accumulation. Interest due stops for no man, not unless you want to default on the whole thing.

Well, that was pretty pessimistic, but, wait, there's MORE! We discussed in the post Budget Cutting v Austerity that, long-term results would be great, but Full-Retard Welfare-State Socialism has the bug feature of being difficult to reverse. So, no matter how many useless people you cut out of the government, they will probably end up using the Welfare State themselves. (Under a looser definition, most who work for Government ARE already using the Welfare State.)

Let me finally get to tariffs, Glenn Reynolds, and DIMS? T I'm surprised he made this mistake, but the Professor's contention that tariffs could cover the loss of income tax revenue***** was based on a mistake.
Estimates are that a 10% universal tariff would bring in about $2 trillion in revenues. Under these circumstances, it’s realistic to talk about abolishing the income tax and still paying down the national debt.
I put his same link in the excerpt here. The writer Erica York of that Tax Foundation article, uses a couple of rectally-extracted numbers to determine how much money tariffs could raise. I don't mind that bit, but keep in mind, without the elasticity and compliance factors, revenue raised would be even higher. The mistake made not therein, but in Glenn Reynold's (quick, I imagine) perusal of those calculations is this, from right in the beginning:
We estimate a 10 percent universal tariff would raise $2 trillion and a 20 percent universal tariff would raise $3.3 trillion from 2025 through 2034, before factoring in how the taxes would shrink the US economy.
Forget the last clause, though it does lead to valid discussion in the post. The $2 or $3.3 Trillion to start with is estimated for a 10 year period. Glenn Reynolds didn't catch that. I would like to inform him, but ...******

$2 Trillion in tariff revenue yearly?! Leaving the couple of factors aside that would make it higher than $2 Trillion, that would mean we are importing $20 Trillion in goods and services, the kind that could have tariffs levied! The GDP, for what it's worth, is only under $30 Trillion. Does It Make Sense? No. Besides my being surprised Professor Reynolds didn't use his common sense there, my point is that the estimate is $200 Billion yearly instead, about 10% of the personal income tax revenue. I know I've stated about this proportion before just using the method of ... you guess it, rectal extraction. Let me refer to his into that can be seen above:
President Trump has talked about ending the income tax and replacing it with tariffs and spending cuts. Most people pooh-poohed that as unrealistic.
Heh! Indeed. I'm one of them. First, you've got to get the rough numbers right.



* That post comes from way back, last time around - Trump-45 - written in July of '18. It referred to a Pat Buchanan column, among others. Mr. Buchanan was still humming along in '18.

** See more on the, for the most part, other odious Amendments (past the 10 Bill of Rights ones) to the US Constitution using the Topic Key Morning Constitutional.

*** Note Post, NOT Times. The latter would never have him. The former can be pretty fair some of the time. The Post had its important Hunter Bai Dien laptop story squashed by censored anti-Social media just before the '20 election, possibly making the difference along with the cheating.

**** I think I knew this before, but substack writers are allowed an alias name or slogan to go with their accounts. It may or may not be in the URL. Glenn Reynold's is his full name "Glenn Harlan Reynolds", but Mr. Wang's one is NEXTBIGFUTURE. Then, there is a title too. Prof. Reynolds uses his name, Mr. Wang uses that alias, and Ann Coulter has "Unsafe" as her title.

***** Even the personal income tax system itself could use some reverse cuts, let's call them. It would help to get those millions of illegal aliens that get refunds based on their many dependents, down in Guatemala or made up out of whole cloth, as per my friend who worked at H&R Block (until he got disgusted), by kicking their fake-documemted selves off the rolls, hell, out of the country.

****** I thought about emailing him, but it's not been easy to extract his email address. (His HTML tries to open email clients that I don't have.) One has to join up to comment on his substack site. I'm not doing that, and so far I haven't read a comment that corrects this mistake. That doesn't say so much for the commenters, IMO.


Comments (10)




With spies like these ..


Posted On: Friday - February 14th 2025 9:53AM MST
In Topics: 
  Humor  Global Financial Stupidity  China  Economics

... your country has to die.

--- NOTE to readers: Classified FED information follows. Destroy your device after reading this post. ---



Unclassified material follows. (HEY, how are you still reading?! I thought I'd made this clear!)

Peak Stupidity is well aware that just one of the many evils of open or porous borders is the risk of espionage by bad "actors" ... like, who's that guy in Get Smart? No, wait, he's a good actor, but a bad spy. Seriously, you let foreigners, many without even citizenship, work in industry and government facilities, and what would you expect? For whatever reason, likely because the Indians are just not as conscientious and loyal to a home country that sucks so much worse, of the large contingents of H1B (and what-have-you) technical types, it's the Chinese who seem more prone to this.

Peak Stupidity has featured 2 stories on government espionage by Chinese people, the 1st about "LA woman" Si Chen and the 2nd about UCLA Professor Yi-Chi Shih, with his accomplice, Pasadena man Kiet Ahn Mai.* Additionally, we told a personal anecdote involving industrial espionage in Chinese grad students and airbag espionage.

This latest episode of spying involves an American, though, who has been passing on US Gov't secrets to the Chinese. It's the old fashioned espionage you got when you didn't let any T'mei, Deik, and Hari into your country. ZeroHedge reports Former Federal Reserve Adviser Arrested For Allegedly Passing US Trade Secrets To China

Holy crap, secrets from the FED, no less! I mean, yeah, these guys made a bunch of money by knowing inside info on when the next rate hike, cut, or quantitive easing (that's PhD-level economics speak for "printing money") was coming. The corruption aspect of this is one thing. It's not what is doing damage to the country. (Which country? I'll get back to you on that.)

I mean, the FED runs our economy. Controlling interest rates by lending recently created money out at specified rates is what made America the solid stable economic power it has become. It's been 112 years now, and look at us! We can't give this secret economic formula away to the Chinese!

Because this latest is just too much, Peak Stupidity hereby petitions Pooh Bear, aka, Xi Jinping in Beijing for mercy. We know you're reading. (Yes, we've connected visits to this site by your advisors to the Forbidden City main IP number.)

Please, please, please Chairman Pooh ("It's XI!" Whatever.), do anything else! Steal the last of our manufacturing technical secrets. Make our trade deficit with China go up to a $Trillion! Condone the ripping and burning of The Office DVDs on the streets of Canton! But, please, Sir, we beg of you, DON'T STEAL THE SECRETS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE!


* "He's a little old Commie from Pasadena (go Yi-Chi, go Yi-Chi, go Yi-Chi, go!)" Not impressed? Look up Jan & Dean sometime, and get back to me. ;-} I know, the Vietnamese guy is the one from Pasa ..... that didn't work for the meter.


Comments (30)




DEPORT OMAR!


Posted On: Wednesday - February 12th 2025 7:52PM MST
In Topics: 
  Immigration Stupidity  US Feral Government  alt-right/MAGA  Poetic Stupidity



Peak Stupidity has mentioned a piece of work named Ilhan Omar before, most recently in this rambling post. As the DOGE group has been digging deep, they noted that this US CongressRagHead Omar (D-SO) has used USAID to launder, well, it's just peanuts, $2,300,000,000 to support civil war in Somalia. Well, it's in our best interests as Americans ... apparently.

Since we've been on an MTG (Marjorie Taylor Greene) kick elsewhere today, with great respect, admiration, and a little bit of a crush, we'll show the following video again. It's from out post MTG v IOU from just about a year back. (IOU is Ilhan Omar, Undocumented.)



MTG has a real spirit to her - it used to be called the Spirit of '76 years ago, when quite a number of American politicians still had it. All MTG was after a year back was to censure IOU, which is a pretty big deal in Congress (see Steve King: Walking through the Fire), for treasonous influence on the Feral Government. Even talking about that was as far as anyone would go last year, and MTG is most definitely ANYONE. Of course, this resolution got nowhere with the UniParty.

The Overton Window has been shifted through efforts of the Trump Administration. Additionally, the even more treasonous actions by this Congressional Representative from Somalia linked-to above call for further efforts against her. A Congressman from Texas is just the man to do it. I looked up Brandon Gill, after reading the following headline on The Gateway Pundit: ‘The Time Has Come’: This GOP Congressman Wants to Arrest and Deport Ilhan Omar to Somalia For Treason. Ha! I guessed beforehand that he was from Texas, north Georgia, or east Tennessee! Brandon Gill is from Texas's 26th District, just south of Oklahoma about halfway west from the Louisiana border to the TX panhandle.

So the reader doesn't have to wade through nasty ads on GP, I'll paste in the text of the 2 emails, Rep Gill sent to his constituents. Yeah, they were fundraising emails, so this is not even a resolution subject to vote, AFAIK.

Friend, we should have never let Ilhan Omar into our country.

And frankly, America would be a much better place if she were to be sent back to Somalia.

Recently, it came out that Ilhan Omar is hosting free workshops for Somalians, who are in our country illegally, on how to evade ICE and deportation.

It could not be more blatant: Ilhan Omar is more loyal to illegal Somalians than she is to the United States, or the office she was elected to.

It is an absolute disgrace.
----- AND -----
A sitting Member of Congress is facilitating a full-scale invasion of our country…

A normal society would refer to that as treason…

But regardless of labels, one thing is clear: The time has come to arrest and deport Ilhan Omar.

I have had my fill of foreigners storming our border, complaining about and disparaging our country, and then helping more and more of them invade our lands… And I know the American people are too.

If you’re as sick and tired of it as I am, sign my petition and let’s send her back to Somalia where she belongs
Well, yeah, it's a petition, and I imagine it's one that has an urgent request for campaign donations. I suppose it's a start though.

Yes, the time has come ...
The time has come,' the Walrus said,
To talk of many things:
Of shoes — and ships — and sealing-wax —
Of cabbages — and kings —
And why the sea is boiling hot —
And whether pigs have wings.'
(Thanks, Poetry Foundation.) I always imagined a "weather pig" when hearing that poem, like this:



Traitor Omar has been advising illegal alien Somalians how to evade ICE and work the immigration racket. She has been a part of this herself, personally, in the past, with actions involving a crooked and weird bromance, so it's not for nothing that her current base of Minneapolis may be re-nicknamed the "City of Brotherly Love". The way things have been going for decades now, Omar would not be deported until pigs fly. We'll see now that the new King has been enthroned - it all depends on weather pigs have wings.

DEPORT OMAR NOW!!


PS: Sadly, those were just fundraising emails. I wonder if Rep Gill has the guts to say just what he wrote there in front of the US Congress, as our MTG would.


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Trust the EXPERTS


Posted On: Tuesday - February 11th 2025 6:59PM MST
In Topics: 
  Humor



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