Hey, what's the deal with excess deaths, anyway?
Posted On: Wednesday - May 26th 2021 7:10PM MST
In Topics:   Kung Flu Stupidity
This post is NOT a stand-up comedy routine, but the Kung Flu PanicFest itself is a lot closer to one.
Let's talk "excess deaths" today. This is something I did preliminary number-crunching on a couple of months ago already, but never got around to doing rigorously (see postscript). A late Steve Sailer PanicFest post - Weekly Total Deaths Finally Returning to Normal - got me going again. His big EXCESS DEATHS! graph shown there is from this CDC page.

(The reader can go to either of the links above to see this better. I'm just trying to show the shape here, shrinking it way down to fit this page though.)
What are excess deaths? Simply, it's the number of fatalities in America in a time period minus the "normal" number of fatalities. Sound simple to you? No, well first of all, what is normal? One can average out a few years to get that, which ought to take out some of the variability from bad flu years, lulls after bad flu years, wartime (not a factor yet, luckily), etc. You get some sort of average, but ...
Here's my problem right away with this CDC graph. That orange "normal" curve is too damn level! If one understands that the American population is aging fairly quickly historically, as I do, one can see that this base curve CANNOT be right. Please look at it greatly enlarged on that CDC page. It hasn't gone up at all from January of '17 to May of '21. There's something wrong.
Last Fall, when Steve Sailer and others started bringing up this excess death business, their point was that, no matter what kind of shenanigans are going on, more people dying mean it must be the Kung Flu having a big effect. That's not a sure thing either, but then I'll get to that in another post. In this post, I'm looking at something very simple. It does not involve "cases", deaths FROM vs WITH Covid-one-niner, or anything medical. It's just pure numbers, from the US Census Bureau and the CDC itself, the latter regarding "regular" deaths (if that's a thing).
Months ago, I went search for exactly what the heck was going on with this base curve. From the methodology notes at the bottom of the same CDC page linked-to above (and by Mr. Sailer), one can read the following:
Weekly numbers of deaths by age group and race/ethnicity were assessed to examine the difference between the weekly number of deaths occurring in 2020 and the average number occurring in the same week during 2015–2019 and the percentage change in 2020. [My bolding]Whoa, whoa, wait a cotton-pickin' minute here. That average may not cut it. So, I went and found some nice US Census tables, even conveniently in .xlsx (spreadsheet) format. Here's a sample from the '19 one**, but I found them for '15 - '19:

Very good stuff. These (with the other 4 years) are nothing but information on the ages of Americans. One can see from a few of these that the higher-age brackets are getting bigger. It's no huge change, but it's enough to matter.
The next thing I needed was "normal" mortality numbers for these different age brackets. It took me an hour or so of searching to find Statista (which is nothing more than a site that sucks in statistics from elsewhere and displays them, I believe) page with this info. The only bad thing was the brackets there are 10-year ones. While I was writing comments under that latest iSteve post, I found out that this info. came straight from the CDC (yes, CDC again!) .pdf files like this one for '19. In fact, the CDC one for '17, with bar graphs for '17 and '16, was missing the under 5 y/o and 5-14 y/o age bracket, exactly as Statista was. (I just used a 4 yr. average instead of 5, but see next paragraph.) Here's a sample from the '19 CDC .pdf report:

Alright, so I went to the

(That last row "85" should say "85+". Calc thought I was doing an operation. It is smarter than me, so ...)
See those 2 numbers at the bottom? (Image-wise, I had to cut them off from the right side of the spreadsheet and paste them underneath). Those are the gist of this post. Taking the '19 normal death numbers minus that CDC '15-'19 average gives a difference of > 101 thousand more deaths. That's not even thinking of 2020, when the Kung Flu "hit us like a ton of ... something..."*** Subtracting the '15 normal deaths from '19 gives 217 thousand more. It's just that Americans are getting older. It doesn't look that was being taken into account for properly.
While writing comments on iSteve, I found a NY Times article that alleged the CDC did some linear regression for this base curve. I worked out a number for 2020 for that. However, I'm not sure how the NY Times alleges the CDC did that. It may have been much more complicated. However, that doesn't change the fact that the damn "Excess Death" graph has that orange curve that doesn't reflect a population increasing in age, period!
They'll be more philosophical ranting about this in an another post to come soon.
PS: I finally got my spreadsheet foo going from, well, it's been quite a while. I'm doing nothing at all fancy, but I just needed to get to a certain, USABLE computer, as in usable for computing, and get going. It was pretty fun really, and man, did it save a lot of time versus calculating and writing on paper. I was even able to import in numbers from those census bureau site .xls files. (I'm using OpenOffice Calc - we've come a long way from Lotus 123... actually NOT, in usability, though I'm sure in computing power and memory limits.)
I'm happy with my lack of errors, though, from my calculations of this past Sunday. After lots of crunching, the death numbers, if off at all, were off by just single digits out of hundreds of thousands.
So Peak Stupidity did not meet its 1st promise made in Unz Review comments, but we've met are fall-back goal. It's still Wednesday, right?
** Careful clicking on this though - it will open up your Excel program. You can get it to open another program, such as OO Calc.
*** I would use 2020 American population numbers by age, but I couldn't find the exact same format. I did recently find it for EVERY year of age. Hell, I got spreadsheets, so I'll work on that shortly.
Comments (13)
A blast from the past, and Jimmy Buffett
Posted On: Tuesday - May 25th 2021 7:37PM MST
In Topics:   Music  History  Science
We are extremely bad about missing anniversaries of historic events here at Peak Stupidity. I'd thought I was only a week late, but this one is a year and a week late, I realized today.
Mt. St. Helens in Washington State looked like this* before May 18th, of 1980:

A couple of months over 41 years ago, in March of 1980, many earthquakes, not damaging at 4 to 5 on the Richter scale, and build-ups of magna pushing out portions of the rock gave loads of warning that "this thing is gonna blow". The few people that lived in the area, other than lodge owner Harry Truman** staying at the shore of Spirit Lake, evacuated upon orders of Governor Dixie Lee Ray. This story was on the news as I recall, quite a while before the event. On May 17th, 50 carloads of property owners went up to retrieve their important stuff.

There aren't that many good pictures. Not everyone and his brother had a camera on him back then.
At 8:32 A on the 18th of May, after no significant warning signs earlier that morning, a huge landslide of 0.7 cubic miles of material moved down the mountain at 110 - 155 mph. That exposed the magma and steam under pressure which proceeded to blow up the top 1,300 ft. of the mountain. Wikipedia has a pretty good account here, and I'll give a few more factoids taken from there.
A pyroclastic flow consisting of very hot volcanic gases, ash and pumice formed from new lava, as well as pulverized old rock, moved down the mountain northward, accelerating quickly to around the speed of sound. It ended up covering 230 square miles. More than 4 billion board feet*** of timber was destroyed or damaged.
An ash cloud blew out and up to 12 miles high. The winds aloft ended up dropping it mostly to the northeast, covering eastern Washington State and many areas well east in fractions to a few inches of ash. The total area covered was 22,000 square miles. Ash continued exiting the volcano for 10 hours. A total of 540 million tons, or 0.3 cubic miles (uncompacted) of ash was thrown out.
From 55 to 60 people were killed by the volcano, most by asphyxiation and some by burns. Harry R. Truman was one of them. Spirit Lake, near which the man died at his lodge, is filled with blown-down trees to this day.
I was young at the time, and didn't realize what a major event the eruption of Mt. St. Helens was.

I don't know. No, I don't know. I don't know where I'm agonna go when the volcano blows.
For the Parrotheads, this is a really fun song, even by Jimmy Buffett standards. It was released 9 months before the Mt. St. Helens eruption, as the title song of the Volcano album****. Hey, White Man's reggae. No bitching about the White Man, just about nature. Sweet!
OK, Mr. Buffett used to write lyrics that would date the music occasionally, and this is one. I'll include the last part:
But I don't want to land in New York City.
Don't want to land in Mexico.
Don't want to land on no Three Mile Island
Don't want to see my skin aglow.
Don't want to land in Comanche Sky Park
or in Nashville, Tennessee.
Don't want to land in no San Juan airport
or the Yukon territory.
Don't want to land no San Diego
Don't want to land in no Buzzards Bay.
Don't want to land on no Ayatollah.
I got nothing more to say.
Let's see. I get the reasons for about half of those. How 'bout you?
OK, one more lyric line: "You better love-a me now or love-a me not." What a great songwriter!
The Coral Reefer Band (at the time) was:
Jimmy Buffett – vocals, acoustic guitar
Keith Sykes – guitar, background vocals
Barry Chance – lead guitar
Andy McMahon – Fender Rhodes
Mike Utley – piano, organ, clavinet
Harry Dailey – bass guitar
(Wiki has info on more musicians playing on this song.)
* It did have visible changes since early that Spring due to the build up.
** Harry R. Truman, not to be confused with Harry S. Truman, was a businessman, bootlegger, prospector, and lodge operator.
*** One board foot is one square foot of 1" thick lumber.
**** That album has quite a few good ones. The hit single Fins is good, but I like Boat Drinks better, along with Chanson Pour Les Petits Enfants ("Songs for the small children").
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Chaos under Covid - Josh Rogin
Posted On: Tuesday - May 25th 2021 10:56AM MST
In Topics:   Trump  China  Books  Kung Flu Stupidity

This is a book review addendum, if you will, of the last chapter of the Josh Rogin book Chaos under Heaven that Peak Stupidity posted a long review on this past Saturday. The reasons for this post are that I'd not quite finished the book when I wrote that review, and that the final chapter, which is about the Kung Flu virus, its origins, and its effect on US-China relations, was one that I'd told Ron Unz in a comment I hadn't read yet.
That latter bit is interesting, as Mr. Unz wrote an uncivil reply comment to me* under his 2nd-to-latest (I haven't bothered with his latest) post on his American bioweapon theory of the Kung Flu's origins - "The Truth" and "The Whole Truth" About the Origins of Covid-19**. The reply was to my simple quick question as to whether Mr. Unz had read Mr. Rogin's Chaos under Heaven. Mr. Unz dismissed the book with the words "Isn’t he that WaPo lab-leak Neocon? I’ve never heard of his book, but why in the world would I want to read that sort of garbage?"***
Well, that brings up the material from our main review. Mr. Rogin is somewhat of a neocon, as we explained there, but his view of the Trump Admin. - China relations was pretty balanced. Mr. Rogin is especially no fan of Steve Bannon. What's really funny here is that the last chapter of Chaos under Heaven, just called "The Coronavirus" is very very much like the Nicholas Wade paper Peak Stupidity discussed and Mr. Unz touted in his post I refer to as supporting his American bioweapon theory.
Mr. Wade's paper DOES NOT support Mr. Unz's theory. Yes, it supports 1/2 of it, only the point that the virus is not likely, per Mr. Wade, to have come from natural mutation/replication animal progression origins. In this last chapter of his book, Mr. Rogin's writing is so close to that of Nicholas Wade's, if Mr. Wade didn't get it directly out of Mr. Rogin's book, then they both got it from the same sources. There are two examples of this: 1) The point about those bats with very similar deadly SARS viruses in caves in Yunnan**** not being obviously able to fly 1,000 miles with this virus and 2) The story of 6 miners in those caves getting wicked sick with same COVID-type symptoms, with 3 of them dying from it. It's nearly the same wording. Mr. Unz mistakenly, IMO, used Mr. Wade's article to bolster his case, but then this book ought to be the same in that respect.
I'll leave Mr. Unz's opinions behind now and continue with this chapter of the book. Just to stay in some sort of order, the biggest deal for Josh Rogin, way before the PanicFest of '20, was the "Wuhan Cables" ***** of early '18. This was about what was going on at the Wuhan labs. American health and science officials went to the Wuhan labs in late '17 and found out how lax the safety standards and personnel training was for a lab doing dangerous research. Higher level diplomats came in March '18 and sent two, what, strongly-worded cables? Though kept secret, the author himself was instrumental in digging them up from some sources and getting them to government officials. Back then, nothing much was made of it.
Once the news of the virus got out, in late '19 and early '20, there was an initial friendly call between Trump and Xi about it. As usual, Trump believed the guy and dismissed the worry very early on. Not much later, when the PanicFest started in earnest, he tried to do the right things (at least trying to cut travel from China early on).
I'll skip most of the rest of the Trump administration politics on the Kung Flu for an attempt at brevity. The big point I want to make is that Mr. Rogin is very dismissive of the bioweapon theory, on the CHINESE end and has nothing to say about that of an American bioweapon theory of origin. (With all he writes about Wuhan, Dr. Shi - the bat lady, if you recall, and the germs themselves, it would not even be thought of, from a reading of this book.)
The author brings up Arkansas Senator Tom Cotton's Chinese bioweapon charges of 2/16/20. Mr. Cotton is a neocon, though only of the "invade-the-world" variety, not the "invite-the-world". (He's very good on the immigration invasion issue, per VDare.) Mr. Rogin maintains that Senator Cotton screwed up the politics with these charges, as the arguments against it and vituperation from the Chinese made the Wuhan lab origin theory go more into the background. One thing this says is, contrary to Mr. Unz's not-having-read-the-book view, Mr. Rogin is not some complete Neocon warmonger on this.
There's some interesting stuff here, with a little deviation from the Wade article too. A number of other very similar viruses to the SARS-Cov-2 (the BIG ONE! ) are mentioned, one important one being what was called RaTG13. That one was found in the bats out in Yunnan and then in the Wuhan lab bat shit samples. It was then experimented on with special genetically-engineered mice, plenty of them sent readily from that UNC research center - Chapel Hill, NC, with ACE2 receptors in their lungs so they could get sick from this virus in the same way as humans.
What deviates from Nicholas Wade's article is that Josh Rogin discusses much subterfuge and covering-up by the Chinese lab people including Dr. Shi. She, OK, Shi, is not made out to be the diligent honest bat-shit lab scientist here.
There's a bit of confusion here for me on the point of these two similar viruses. The author is careful not to say explicitly that "gain-of-function"****** work was done. Then again, how did that first RaTG13 virus get to be the SARS-CoV-2 one? Was it the mice? Is that not the same as gain-of-function work? I don't know.
Another point of mine is this: What specifically makes the work done in that lab, and the same with similar work in America, NOT bioweapons research? Is it just the intention? Is it the lab name, called a "Virology Lab - level BSL-4", rather than "Department of Offense Bio-Lab"? Either way, the stuff can be deadly. All you do to turn gain-of-function results into a weapon is get a vial and get on a plane. (Bring plenty of wipes!)
Man, I just can't keep these things short, as I just read this and want to include all the interesting parts. Let me get back to the Trump/China politics during the Kung Flu PanicFest era just to summarize them per Josh Rogin. Trump and all of the administration finally got wise to all the bullshit out of China during the summer of '20. They realized that the huge damage to the American economy, from the Kung Flu - no, it was from the ensuing PanicFest, actually - was a bigger deal than their measly round 1 trade deal and other politics. It was pretty late to play hardball. Additionally, the Chinese were using the Kung Flu PanicFest to exert influence all over the world, threatening the loss of, well, shit like defective face masks for one...
Mr. Rogin, being from CNN and the Washington Post after all, was not happy with the last Trump moves. Along with other moves, they involved the administration's looking into the cultural-sabotage outfit Confucius Centers, sending home "researchers" in science/engineering who were associated with the Chinese military, and closing of the Houston, Texas Chinese consulate that was full of spies. Talk aboutcher no-brainers!
With the exception of the epilogue, the author must have finished writing sometime in the Fall of '20, as the election hadn't happened yet. I've got 2 or 3 problems with his take on the American politics of election '20, which I'll likely post about.
Where Josh Rogin himself stands on the panicker/non-panicker spectrum is obvious from just one paragraph on page 283. As the author traveled with National Security Advisor Robert O'Brien to Scottsdale, Arizona to a conference about the CCP's global ambition and influence. He ends that section ("The Gloves Come Off") on that sequence of political events with the ominous one-sentence paragraph:
Two weeks later, O'Brien was diagnosed with COVID-19.OMG! I think we're supposed to shake in our cheap China-made boots here.
Josh Rogin sure seems to have a lot of inside knowledge of this last chapter of the Trump Administration's China politics. This is very interesting stuff that Kung Flu origin worriers really ought to read. I'll take exception to those 3 items of stupidity to expected out of a Lyin' Press writer later. What it still comes down to is that I trust even this Washington Post reporter more than I do the Chinese Communist Party.*******
* Later on in the thread, though, Mr. Unz was much more civil in another couple of replies and even thanked me for linking to a John Derbyshire column. The Derbyshire column was on his OWN SITE, BTW! Ha, I guess he really is a busy guy with all that writing, skimming/chiming-in, and software work. I was really surprised that Mr. Unz was so glad Mr. Derbyshire had pointed out his writing, even when stating that he (Mr. D) didn't think Mr. Unz's theory that likely compared to the Wuhan lab screw-up theory. Though Mr. Unz is a big shot in some ways, I guess Mr. Derbyshire is much more known as a writer.
** It has 943 comments as of now, but they won't be displayed with the post without the reader clicking at the bottom - a smart thing, IMO, as if you don't want to read comments, unlike me, you can load a much smaller amount of text.
*** Then, the insult had to come out - the guy is just high strung - claiming I have written nothing intelligent about China (that he's skimmed, anyway) from 11 times being there, while he has written papers and read lots of books. OK, Ron. I told the guy to visit sometime in '19, dammit. I really did want to know what he'd think if he went there.
**** It's out there way southwest of Wuhan, directly north of Vietnam.
***** WTF is a diplomatic "cable" now anyways? Did the message go under the sea?
****** What crappy terminology there! That's a subject for another quick post.
******* It could be that the book audience is slightly different from the Lyin' Press/TV Infotainment crowd, so the same lies won't fly in this format.
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Content Note: "Excess Deaths" calculations to come likely on Wednesday
Posted On: Monday - May 24th 2021 8:41PM MST
In Topics:   Websites  Kung Flu Stupidity
No, this is not a "site note", which in the past has meant I'm getting screwed in the ass by some change with SSL or hosting. This is an apology post about missing some content today.
I'd promised in the comments under this Steve Sailer post on the Kung Flu, or Flu Manchu as some are wont to say., to put up a post today with the following: From reading the CDC's own web site, their method of calculating "excess deaths" does not well take into account the aging of the US population.
Rather than write more tonight, I will explain in the post or two to come on this. Anyway, for readers from the unz site, I didn't meet my goal, as today got extremely busy. There are loads of other posts to write, so I think I'll put those in while I decide how to present my numerical story.
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PC yard sign parody
Posted On: Saturday - May 22nd 2021 8:13PM MST
In Topics:   Humor  Political Correctness
Our illustrious commenter Adam Smith linked to the sign below a good while back. I spent 3 hours at least on that book review, to this post will have no further comment. Good evening all, and thank you for reading.

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Chaos under Heaven - Josh Rogin
Posted On: Saturday - May 22nd 2021 3:23PM MST
In Topics:   Trump  China  Books  World Political Stupidity

Peak Stupidity mentioned that we'd have a review of this book Chaos under Heaven*, by Josh Rogin, a few weeks back in our post Mandate straight outta Hell. I read most of the book back then, but I am just now going over the last chapter, on the Kung Flu, so I'll discuss it later in a separate post.
The author of this book is a long-term journalist of the Lyin' Press magazine departments (Newsweek, Foreign Policy, Bloomberg View, the Washington Post, and so on) along with TV department CNN. He calls himself a "Neoliberal" and "Constructionist". I've never heard of the latter, and heard of the former term plenty but have no idea what a Neoliberal is supposed to be. What Mr. Rogin IS, however, is a Neocon, though he doesn't know it. He's got this definition in an explanation of the difference between a Neocon and a "Conservative Hawk" [p. 155], as he wrote:
Bolton was not actually a neocon like Pence. Ideologically, he was more of a conservative hawk, like Pompeo. (The difference between neocon and conservative hawk -- often overlooked even in DC -- had to do with how much one felt the factors of democracy, freedom, and human rights should factor into America's foreign policy and its use of hard power. That distinction most often surfaced when policy makers were talking about bad governments that the United States worked with, such as Egypt and Saudi Arabia. Neocons wanted them to change; conservative hawks wanted them to stay close allies.)First of all, if John Bolton is not a neocon, nobody is. I see this distinction of the author's, but then that makes Josh Rogin a Neocon anyway, from what I read here.
Chaos under Heaven, as the sub-title relates, is a story of high-level relations between the US and China during the Trump administration. Mr. Rogin wrote this book from a position of in insider in the Trump Administration. It's his journalist posting, I guess, but this guy sounds like he was in on all these meetings, or at least talked to the important people in all of them. The book is mostly about meetings in fact, ones within the Trump Administration, ones between Trump and President-for-Life Xi, Trump officials and Chinese officials, and anything else - meetings, meetings, meetings.
The "Chaos" in the title refers to President Trump's ways. The author's take on Trump's China policy, in general, is explained right in the prologue [p. xxi]. It's a combination between "flailing" and his "love affair with China's dictator-for-life" (and I can believe both), and a different narrative in which Trump wanted to set his various advisors against each other in order to get competing opinions. It's hard to tell what Josh Rogin thinks of President Trump in general, but it's not all a negative view.
The reader may recall, as I do now that I read about it again in this book, that the first big interaction between the two powers with Donald Trump on-board was a deal about Trump's taking a congratulatory phone call from the Taiwanese President Tsai in early December '16. Well, the Chinese diplomats were bound to get their panties in wads over that one. Peak Stupidity has reported on their pushing of the 3 big airlines left in the United States to change the maps in their in-flight magazines** in Western airlines bow down to China Commies' petty whims. and Airline Taiwan-nomenclature brew-haha prequel. Josh Rogin mentions this very incident, from a few years back.
Besides a few minor flaws in Mr. Rogin's truth-telling abilities, of which I'll get to later, he wrote a fairly interesting book, considering it's as policy-wonky as one can get. I could keep track of a couple of handfuls of the main diplomatic characters on the American side, but not all of these people. Mr. Rogin breaks down the 4 years of policy making and negotiation with the tough-ass Chinese into the diplomacy realm (just getting along with them), the trade realm, and the human rights realm. It's that the latter was important to the author and the Trump officials at all that makes them Neocons.
We've discussed the situation regarding Hong Kong and Taiwan in that "Mandate straight outta Hell" post linked-to above. The gist of that is "none of our business anymore", "We're broke here." and "Let 'em take care of themselves." This pushing of China about the Uighurs is Neoconnery, as I guess the author would put it. No doubt, the Chinese government has done a lot of evil to these people. It's a voluntary genocide on the Uighur people (either become culturally Chinese or bust). It's just not our business though. This kind of talk only encourages the CCP to mouth off often about Americans and their racism and xenophobia (AS IF!). Yes, that's hard-core lying, while there's a lot more truth in the Chinese being genocidal to these Uighers. I still recall the lefties back in the mid-1980s, when discussing El Salvador and the Commies there- "We can't be the policemen of the world." When's the last time you've heard that one? It's been a while, and I'd suggest Conservatives start appropriating that line.
Let the Chinese deal with those Moslems as they see fit. That brings up the material that Mr. Rogin goes into regarding American diplomacy and Uighur activists in America [p. 208]. There's a bunch of trouble, with Mike Pompeo even involved, for this particular guy, one Bahram Sintash "from Chantilly, Virginia". (Oh, a "Virginia man", I see.) Yeah, his Dad was catching hell out there in Xinjiang for resisting Chinese oppression. Yeah? Listen, we can't keep importing people from all over that end up recruiting the US Feral Gov't to solve their damn family problems. Go home and take care of it, Virginia man! We've got big problems here already. Secondly, why have another diplomatic liability to have to bargain something else for?
One could substitute any other country for Xinjiang in the paragraph above. As evil as the governments of the Middle Kingdom have been to their countrymen, they still want to keep the same countrymen at least, and they make a big effort to control who lives there***. (Yeah, I know Tibet was a separate country before and Xinjiang was only claimed by China since the1700s, a moment ago in China-time.)
Enough of the "human rights" stuff. Let me first point out a piece of pure stupidity on the Mr. Rogin's part and then get to the important meat of this book. As the author discusses the inroads the CCP has been making with a cultural invasion of US institutions****, he has a section in Chapter 12 ("Waking Up") called "Political Tools". On page 215-216 he writes:
The Chinese government sponsors language programs, education exchanges, and research, much of which is constructive or benign. Independently or through these programs, hundreds of thousand of Chinese students study at American universities, bringing value to these schools and taking a better understanding of the United States back to China. The vast majority of these students have no connection to the Chinese state and are simply trying to get an education and better their lives. They are the victims both of their own government's abuses and of Americans' discrimination and racism, which are exacerbated by some of Trump's statements and policies.I almost said "fuck it" and stopped reading right there. It's just that this is roughly 2/3 into the book, and this review needed to be written. Thankfully that paragraph of stupidity above is by far the worst in Chaos under Heaven.
Oh, but that doesn't mean I won't answer this bullshit. No, the "bringing value" may have been very true in the 1980s, when America really got a very few of the best and brightest rather than "deals" like the Chinese Visiting Scholar Scam that we "get" now. They are not victims of anybody. They didn't have to come over here to begin with, and that last (bolded) part is just downright ridiculous. Americans are as tolerant as anyone of foreigners. We are way too tolerant, in fact. The Chinese don't have millions of students, post-doc hangers-on, and family members on all types of visas, so shut the fuck up,
Back to the meat of the book, the story of the trade dealing. The important thing for America is to get out of this American-politician-caused unfair deal - see The Chinese are not happy with their > 20 year-long unfair! trade deal with America. A lot of this book covers these negotiations, which is the interesting part to me. If you wonder why President Trump couldn't get things done, this book describes the reasons. These reasons could apply to other areas of policy just as easily. Again, Peak Stupidity emphasizes that you don't start out by hiring people who are not on your side.
I can't recall every back-and-forth bit of deal-making on trade between our countries that the author covered, even a few weeks later. There's a lot to read about it. This book will disabuse one of the notion that President Trump didn't try hard or do anything, as it did me. The Chinese are in the cat-bird's seat though, now. This book covers a lot of the arrogance of the Chinese government officials, at least, and I don't chalk that up to the Neoconnery of Mr. Rogin.
This is not the 1990s when the Chinese wanted America's help in building up their manufacturing, and we still had an economy an order-of-magnitude bigger. That's all over. They don't need us for this. (I mean, they have millions of Chinese here, just fraction of a percent of whom they could have send them whatever information they do need.) The Chinese play hard ball politics. Chinese President-for-Life Xi Jinping is not one of Trump's American politician golfing buddies. Sure, they may disagree, but they're both Americans, and they can talk to and understand each other. Xi Jinping is not your buddy, Donald Trump. He is pushing for whatever is good for the CCP and China, which in and of itself is fair enough. He and his CCP are devious and will not compromise unless it's part of a trick. There is plenty of this type of thing described in this book. Let me put it this way: From this book I have learned that there's another book that I absolutely DON'T want to read. That would be Donald Trump's Art of the Deal. From all the information in this book (just from the facts, not the Neocon opinion), Donald Trump sucks at deal-making!
Yes, Donald Trump thought Xi Jinping would just be on the level with him, once they got to know each other and all. As Zhou Bai Dien could even tell him, were he not probably compromised by his son, "C'mon, man!" The book title aside, it was not all chaos, and President Trump meant well. However, now we don't even have someone who means well, so we are really and truly screwed.
* The subtitle is: Trump, Xi, and the Battle for the Twenty-First Century.
** Lotta damn good that did them, as those in-flight magazines are a thing of the past, I'm almost sure (they are still gone right now). The Kung Flu PanicFest was the last straw due to "Surfaces!! Eeek!", but this was coming anyway, with passengers having too much to view on the electronics to pick these things up.
*** There's a short post I want to write about this, from a personal anecdote, coming next week, now that I recalled it.
**** This was discussed in more detail in a book Peak Stupidity reviewed last year - We Have Been Harmonized, by Kai Strittmatter. We wrote a 4-part review: Part 1, Part 2, Part 3, and Part 4,
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Crash of the CPR smart dummy
Posted On: Friday - May 21st 2021 7:09PM MST
In Topics:   Humor  Artificial Stupidity  Healthcare Stupidity

(Extra limbs sold separately.)
With the Artificial Stupidity topic key, the reader will find many posts decrying the trend in the modern world to make every damn thing smart (see Coffee Machines and Jet Airplanes - machines taking control). Smart phones are the worst of it, but there have to be smart cars, smart toasters, smart toilets (? They come to you when you're ready, I think...) This post is about the latest one I've heard of, a smart CPR dummy - yeah the hardest part about writing this post was sifting through my head for the best title.
The healthcare worker of our family has to do a recertification on CPR every 2 years. She's got a deadline coming right up. Well, she tried to get this done just after her work time in order to save on a commute. I kid you not - the CPR dummy was down. His software must have crashed. He was not so smart that day, so training had to be postponed. I still remember the day when dummies were just dummies, the CPR type and even the ones in Washington, FS.
Peak Stupidity has embedded this The Office scene before, I am pretty sure. This is one of the funniest pieces of TV I've ever run into.
Comments (7)
The current real estate boom as prepping for inflation
Posted On: Friday - May 21st 2021 9:47AM MST
In Topics:   Global Financial Stupidity  Preppers and Prepping  Economics  Inflation

(This image may not be the best, as it suggests people bailing out. It's all I got right now.)
I wasn't sure for a while it was just our local area or State that was experiencing rising housing and land prices all over. I met a real estate agent while traveling and she informed me that people were making offers above and beyond asking prices on exurban houses along with undeveloped land.
From reading a bit, I see that it's more widespread. There is the huge inflation that we have seen in building materials, whether temporary due to supply shortages* or a permanent increase. That would encourage people to buy existing houses, of course, and bring their values up some. This Fortune magazine article attributes the reason for inflation of suburban and rural property to the Kung Fu PanicFest's causing permanent changes to work habits. That people will work from home more, and they want more space, is the gist of it, though they speculate on other reasons.
We at Peak Stupidity can speculate too. As related to the PanicFest, along with last years BLM/antifa mayhem, many of are realizing something the preppers could have told us long ago. The first then they will tell you is that cities are not the places to be when the SHTF - Shit Hits The Fan. (If you're gonna be any kind of prepper, you start off learning the terminology, and SHTF is number 1.) The ctrl-left in the blue States, or really, blue areas more than States, of the country are doing this bugging out, as I've seen in my area. Yes, they are the cause of the problems back in their old country, but that doesn't stop them from getting the hell out.
Secondly, this PanicFest has been just another excuse, and a BIG ONE, for the US Feral Gov't to create trillions of more US dollars in a short time. You just can't keep doing stuff like that and expect the buck to buy the same stuff it did last year. Oh, the BLS can get creative with their baskets of goods**, and come up with those 1-2% APR numbers, though they had to admit to an April 4.2% yoy CPI rise, as per Ron Paul's Big Government and Big Inflation. (Just double it, and you'll get closer to the truth.)
As much as most American wouldn't know the Federal Reserve from the Federalist Papers, people's general observations and instincts often help them do the right thing. "Shit's going up. That's all." That's the answer from about anyone I ask the question "hey, why is it higher now?" to, whether the insurance agent***, a guy at the hardware store, the waiter, and then the tax assessor. OK, the latter has an easy answer too: Real Estate is going up, duh.
So, everything is going up, causing everything else to go up. That's the story that they are sticking to. It's the same as the wage/price spiral business they'd tell you in the late 1970s, except wages are at a lower relative level and not rising as much. This whole inflation thing is 1970s redux. I know people like the retro stuff, like POS blenders that look like the old well-built Osterizers or retro Camaros, Mustangs and Chargers, but inflation too? Really?
Housing and land are real. The US dollar is a piece of green paper**** or bits on a computer somewhere. Even people who don't read Peak Stupidity, Zerohedge, or Ron Paul columns can still wise up.
PS: We have discussed Housing Bubble 2.0 on the West Coast especially on this site (see here, here, here, and here.) Was that all garbage, seeing as no bust is forthcoming? I don't know. It's hard to separate inflation from real increase in value.
* It's not like we are running out of forest in this country. It might be more about whose money is more worth taking for the lumber (aka, China's).
** We've got lots of discussion of hedonics, substitution, and other fun stuff in posts with the Inflation topic key.
*** Regarding my house insurance, at least he did have a good answer: Replacement cost is going up due to the big rise in building materials.
**** I did get 2 Sacajawea coins out of a vending machine recently, though.
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MEMO FROM MIDDLE AMERICA includes Kung Flu sense
Posted On: Thursday - May 20th 2021 6:42PM MST
In Topics:   Immigration Stupidity  Websites  Pundits  Dead/Ex- Presidents  Kung Flu Stupidity
Peak Stupidity has mentioned VDare's Allan Wall before, in posts and even our almost 5 year-old review of the site. He's one of the originals and one of our favorites of the many great writers featured there.
Allan Wall's latest column, Soros Evangelical Russell Moore Still Shilling For Left, Teams Up With Dubya To Promote Mass Immigration* is great reading for one thing above and beyond the normal good immigration stupidity reporting. He's branched out just a tad, maybe as much as VDare would be happy with, into the Kung Flu stupidity.
Mr. Wall is a very civil, low-emotional-content writer, with just the facts and his gleanings from his experience. Though most VDare writers stick pretty strictly to the mission, reporting on all things immigration, in this one, Mr. Wall's opinion on the PanicFest shines through. It’s pretty hilarious too, and I haven’t noted his sense of humor before. I’ve never heard the term “Flu Manchu” before, but I like it and am kinda pissed at myself for not thinking of that one. Next, this guy uses the term “face diaper” right in this VDare article.
The subject of this column is an alleged Christian leader who's been discussed on the site before multiple times, one Russell Moore. Mr. Moore is a stupid pretentious cuck, and this column has plenty of his latest stupidity (maybe just plain evil against the American people) on display.

Allan Wall's words regarding the above tweet are some of the funniest I've ever read on VDare:
Such is Moore’s enthusiasm for what skeptics call the face diaper that he wore two the day he received the first of two inoculations. And he added this corny message: “This hobbit is vaccinated.”LOL! You don't expect that out of the staid, serious, and erudite crowd** at VDare.
Hobbits are probably smarter than Moore because they drink beer and smoke pipes and don’t fret about viruses.
But wait, there's more!! In the process of eviscerating Russell Moore, Mr. Wall, brings up a zoom call between him and ex-Presidente Jorge W. Boosh. I had not read before of Mr. Bush's new open borders pushing book called "Out of Many, One", and I wish I never had. The author has a lot to say about this guy too, who is turning into possibly one of the worst ex-Presidents EVAH.
Please read this latest Allan Wall column, Peak Stupidity readers. You will enjoy it immensely. You rock, Allan Wall! VDare is likely to get a strongly-worded letter about this guy from one of us.
* “MEMO FROM MIDDLE AMERICA:” appears before the main title. It is just the heading for many of his columns, seeing as a decade or so ago it used to be “MEMO FROM MEXICO”, written when he and his family lived there. His other columns, in which he gives us the real scoop as a Spanish-speaker, are usually “SAID IN SPANISH”
** Excepting one Lance Welton, who is a bit off the wall sometimes.
Comments (4)
Fort Snelling, Minnegadishu
Posted On: Wednesday - May 19th 2021 2:19PM MST
In Topics:   Immigration Stupidity  The Future

Fort Snelling was built early in the 1800s, when Minnesota was part of the American Western frontier. Parts of it were used as a graveyard for American military men starting in 1870. The original fort is on the east side, but the cemetery sits on the due south side of the Minneapolis-St. Paul airport, just north of the Interstate 494 and the Minnesota River, nestled between runway 30R and runway 35 of the airport.
While doing business in the area of the airport, I passed by the neatly organized grid of simple graves each marked by a white cross. The graves go out from the road as far as the eyes can see over the low rises, and it takes a minute to go past them all at 40 mph or so. Per wiki, there are just barely under one quarter of a million graves there, on 436 acres, which is over 2/3 of a square mile.
Then, I looked out at the streets again on the other side and the people in the light rail cars. This is likely not the most intense area of Somaliland in the formerly Great White North city of Minneapolis. However, there were plenty non-normal Minnesotans, if I can put it that way, in the area. The MSP airport area in general has very many, doing that work that Minnesotans apparently won't do anymore. (Well, it's hard when the Somalian lead won't hire Americans so readily ...) Don't get me started again* on the whole farce of a TSA that searches up American grannies and toddlers, yet allows Somalians to work out on the ramp among the airliners - oh, yeah, thorough background checks were done on all of them, THOROUGH, I tells ya'!
What'd those men buried in those quarter million graves with the white crosses die for? What would they think if they could see past the manicured green grass over to the road or out to the city on the other side?
* Something like it, though, is in this old post of ours - .Minnesota Nice, terrorists, and the Security State.
Comments (9)
Foo Fighters - Everlong
Posted On: Tuesday - May 18th 2021 11:16PM MST
In Topics:   Music
As not really the biggest fan of Grunge music at the time, I had not idea until now that the Foo Fighter's lead singer/drummer Dave Grohl had been Nirvana's drummer until Kurt Cobain killed himself in 1994. He formed his band after that, also in the Seattle, Washington area.
Everlong is the only song I can remember by this band, and it goes back almost a 1/4 century, to 1997, from their album The Colour and the Shape* One interesting thing is that, because Mr. Grohl had a thing for Louise Post of a band called Veruca Salt (no, never heard of them either), he not only wrote the song about her but wanted her on a little bit of backing vocals. She was in Chicago while his band was recording this in Hollywood, CA, so they got the audio over the land line. "Can you hear me now?" "No problem."
I'd almost completely forgotten about this once-favorite of mine. Since the song is from back when they still made very creative videos too, this is worth watching while listening to:
The Foo Fighters:
Dave Grohl – Vocals, rhythm guitar, drums
Pat Smear – Lead guitar
Nate Mendel – Bass guitar
Louise Post – Backing vocals on this song
* Why the British-style mis-spelling, I don't know.
Comments (5)
The Age of Entitlement - Christopher Caldwell
Posted On: Tuesday - May 18th 2021 7:00PM MST
In Topics:   Feminism  Liberty/Libertarianism  US Feral Government  Race/Genetics  Books  Morning Constitutional
This one was recommended in the Peak Stupidity comment section quite a while back by Mr. E.H. Hail of the Hail to You blog.

It's been quite a while now since I read this book. This is not the best way to write a review, though I have the book on me still and will refer to a few parts. The gist of Christopher Caldwell's '20-copywritten book The Age of Entitlement, is that the Civil Rights laws and court decisions have become a 2nd US Constitution, one that is nowhere near in harmony with the original. The great body of legislation passed in the mid-1960s by a Democrat Congress and gladly signed by the Socialist scumbag Lyndon Johnson was not nearly the whole body of this new constitution. The rest of it was written up by activist courts over the ensuing years, and is on-going today.
I have no problem with Mr. Caldwell's big thesis here. I don't get the idea from this book that the author is any big Constitutionalist, though, who would have voted for Barry Goldwater if he could have.* Though he mentions the big loss of freedom of association, due to those early efforts to force black and white people together in the 1960s and '70s, one gets the feeling that Mr. Caldwell would have been, and still is, one of those well-meaning do-gooders that he rightly sees as the cause of all this horrible change to American politics.
In fact, after the introduction, entitled 1963, the next two chapters, (2) Race and (3) Sex, had me almost sending this book right back to the library prontomundo. Regarding the former, let me say that I'm pretty sure Mr. Caldwell wouldn't get caught dead reading any Paul Kersey material. In this chapter on race, Mr. Caldwell does a nice job explaining freedom of association and then some of the staged ploys to claim discrimination that the left did in the 1960s and still does. However, throughout the chapter, I got the feeling that this author had no idea of what the South had been dealing with. He sounds just like the arrogant Northerners of yesteryear, who had no clue how certain black people behave. The chapter ends with his noting that civil rights had been sold differently to the American people from the way it went down. He still mentions this "especially shameful history." Ahhh, bullshit.
Next, in the chapter on feminism, it's the same story. Mr. Caldwell noted that feminist policy too was implemented by courts with new "court-mandated rights - of all kinds". He did a good job of explaining the passing but non-ratification of the moribund Equal Rights Amendment. (They tried, from '72 through '77, with 35 States ratifying - thank you, 15 sane States!) However, my reading of this chapter, is that, from its beginning to end, the author is perfectly fine with feminism in principle. In the 1st half of Chapter 3 he pretty much just badmouths those bad old days (before Maude?) in which goils were goils and men were men ...**
In Chapter 4 on War, Vietnam, that is, Christopher Caldwell writes a nice summary of that era, but still has this bit about "those who were heroically fighting for equality" [p. 76]. In Chapter 5 on Debt, I did not agree very much with his take on President Reagan. Sure [p. 110] candidate Reagan may have promised to undo affirmative action "with the stroke of a pen", but he couldn't, and he couldn't just abolish the Dept. of Education as promised due to, oh right, a highly Democrat-dominated House of Representatives his ENTIRE time in office - it averaged 59% Democrat over those 8 years. The same goes for Mr. Caldwell's assertions on the next page about the debt, that Mr. Reagan just up and borrowed way more than he spent. Hey, Caldwell, Mr. Original-Constitutionalist! Have you ever read Article 1? Congress writes the budget. Reagan was damn close to auto-veto-override mode by Congress, with it only taking from 45 to as low as 18 R traitors out of the 435 critters to do this.
The rest of the book, on Diversity (incl. Political Correctness), Winners, and Losers is to me a nice job done by Mr. Caldwell. He lays out the BS that Americans have been subject to very well. I would say a bunch of the thoughts there could have, or may very well have, been taken straight off of Steve Sailer blog posts. (He includes the story of the always colorful (well... ) Miss Rachael Dolezal even!)
Let me bring up one more pervasive problem I saw in the writing in The Age of Entitlement. It's something that I will explain better in a someday-upcoming review of Strauss & Howe's Generations/The Fourth Turning. Basically, Mr. Caldwell has too many episodes of Strauss-Howe syndrome, which, by my definition, means the explaining of his point with cultural/artistic/entertainment very specific happenings. To paraphrase this generically: "By the early 1980s people were more like this, as we note from these lyrics in this song by Frankie Goes to Hollywood, along with two different movies that came out that had people that acted just like that. One of them said "blah, blah, blah", which is just another example of how people were getting to be like this." There is way too much of this Strauss-Howe syndrome in the book, unfortunately, for those who can detect generalized bullshit that can be supported or debunked with many different examples from the same period.
To summarize, The Age of Entitlement is a very readable book with lots of red meat for Conservatives who understand the cultural destruction and destruction of the old at least semi-Constitutional US of pre 1963. It'd be great if others, who do not understand yet, would read it. However, likely because the author wants to keep his various editor and opinion writer jobs, he couldn't go all full-truth conservative on the race and feminism chapters. He's got the few screwed-up ideas I mentioned above and that annoying Strauss-Howe syndrome too.
I still recommend this book, with a warning that you are probably not gonna like Chapters 2 and 3, at least. It's a good short history of the misery that has been foisted on straight White men over the last 58 years by many stupid do-gooders along with a few evil ones in the name of "Civil Rights". It's not been civil at all, and we have almost no more rights. Decent job, Chris Caldwell, decent job.
* He was born in 1962 though.
** Not Mr. Caldwell's line, but since I'm into 1970s Normal Lear sitcoms here ...
Comments (4)
Female Instincts: Nurturing v Socializing venue: the sidewalk
Posted On: Monday - May 17th 2021 6:24PM MST
In Topics:   Race/Genetics  Female Stupidity

(You wouldn't believe what search term came up very quickly with this image. Actually, maybe you would. I'm still chuckling!)
This is more anecdotal commentary, as per this morning's post. "This is easy!" [mashes big red Staples button] Sometimes post ideas just come one after another.
In this nice leafy* neighborhood, I saw a young Mom with a toddler and a stroller as I left the house. There was only one kid - often, they like to walk or even push the stroller instead of riding. Right then, I also saw a, let's say "n'd-up", old Crown Vic, not as nice as the one in the photo here. Just it being a Crown Vic makes the chances 90% it was a black guy driving, but with tinted windows, the odds go up to sun-coming-up-tomorrow" levels.
It's not like we don't have plenty of various folks driving by that don't live here. It's not that I think they all need to drive elsewhere either. (Heck, I'll go through the non-leafy neighborhoods myself ... in the daytime ... very carefully.) I just had some thoughts about the lady seeing this vehicle, with her little vulnerable toddler outside on the sidewalk.
What was she thinking? The basic un-suppressible thoughts (would that be the woman's lizard brain?) were bound to be "I don't want this guy near my kid." However, if she's one of the many ridiculous virtue-signalling lefties around with the BLM and "Hate has no home here." signs in the yard, I'm sure her high-level thoughts would lean toward "Oh, I feel NOTHINK! NOTHINK! [/Sargent Schultzie]. Everything is fine. Tinted windows are great. I would LUV for black people to move into my neighborhood!" {See our post from last year - It's a Beautiful Day in the Leafy Neighborhood.)
There were competing female instincts out there on the sidewalk this morning. The nurturing instinct, so strong in the female brain, would tell her that whatever it takes to keep that helpless boy safe, she must do. Females have a big socializing instinct too though, as in not making waves and doing what it takes to get along, even if it's NOT the right thing. In the world of today, in which the black race is exalted, the ladies with their yard signs and Facebook pages will give up all rights and dignity in order that we "all get along". We may be getting genocided into oblivion, but we'll all be getting along while we are. That's important, see?
Luckily, as with most instances of Nurturing v Socializing, this match quickly turned into a nice friendly social hour with no conflict, as, well, the guy drove on down the road. There was no reason for conflict. Everyone got along. It's only those occasional bouts in which the venue is a dark alley, the middle of a BLM protest, or the Town Hall meeting about the new Section 8 development, when the contest really gets going. Lately, Socializing has been beating all hell out of Nurturing.
* For all practical purposes, "Leafy" means "mostly White".
Comments (5)
1-888-NO-THANX
Posted On: Monday - May 17th 2021 10:29AM MST
In Topics:   Curmudgeonry  Artificial Stupidity  Customer Care
The phone number above is NOT, I repeat, NOT the Peak Stupidity customer care line. We don't have one because we just don't care that awful much.*. Who knows who you'll get on that line, but I would bet money on one thing: You won't get a live person on the other end without going through some phone menu.

We haven't got into the Curmudgeonry very much lately, so it's about time for a quick one. I just plain don't like unnecessary phone "tree" systems whether tone-operated or voice-operated. In fact, I've NEVER partaken in the latter yet, and gotten away with it so far. That's not easy at times - learning the right combinations of "0"s and other numbers in an order that will not result in one's being hung up on takes some memory skills. (If you're gonna call again, when you get the Rosetta Stone of the system down, WRITE IT DOWN! Example: "Wait 5 seconds for the 'Por hablo Espaniol...' crap, mash 1, mash 0, 0 again, then 4".)
One of our vehicles has had a crack in the windshield for a couple of years, but this spring, once the sun got high, it decided to grow**. We noticed it go a few inches each time in about 3 steps already, so that's it. Luckily insurance covers this one, as this vehicle has got the comprehensive coverage.
Good deal - I'll get something out of all those years of premiums and no claims. (I should be thankful anyway.) Bing.com showed a number of places to get this done. One was near a friend's place, where he could pick me up to hang out while I waited. However, the one nearest him had an 888 number shown vs. local numbers for the others. Seeing as I wasn't shopping based on cost this time, that phone number alone made my decision for me.
I know I've written this stuff before, but there's times when a phone tree does help the business get one routed to the right person or makes you do the work of entering information, saving employees some time, as opposed to the customer! Maybe that brings prices down, I dunno always. However, when calling the auto parts store for a price or availability, ordering a pizza, or calling the hair cut place to see when they're open****, I don't want to give my life story. Just get it over with, and answer the damn phone like a human being! It's not like we're gonna do it fully automated anyway, so you waste 30 seconds to a minute (this is for small business, not even Big-Biz) running me around, and then "hello".
Publishing that 888 number rather than a local number cost the auto glass business $550 this morning.***** Nice going, guys! The other place had a girl that answered right away. I checked whether they could get the windshield for my year/make/model, they could, and so we simply did business.
Small business owners or potential small business owners: Please keep this in mind. Someone has to answer the phone anyway. Think about skipping that phone system. We know you're not a huge place with 100 "associates" who are "busy serving other customers and will be with you shortly, so in the meantime, say your, I dunno, favorite Major League Baseball team..." If that's what the idea is, you're not fooling us all. Just get someone to answer the phone WHEN THE CUSTOMER CALLS, and, while you're at it, think about not telling her to reel off a 15 second greeting either.
Hey, I've been there, long ago. Yes, depending on the business, you may get from 5% to 50% of the callers actually doing business. (I was on the low end of this.) Still, they are more likely to do business when they don't get pissed at your computer voices and hang up, or not call up in the first place. Just sayin'....
* I would expect that our regular readers understand that our offering of Peak Stupidity alerts was also done in pure facetiousness.
** Be really careful about spraying washer fluid, or water in general on the windshield when it's been out in the sun with any existing crack in it, especially if you have a dark-colored dash. There are two factors that work in concert: 1) The top of the dash radiates to the inside of the glass, heating it way up. This gives the inside of the glass a tendency to expand against the constraint of the outside, which is cooler and even cooler when sprayed with water. 2) There is a chemical effect from the bi-polar*** water molecules (as I read about in a paper long ago) that increases crack growth in glass.
You've got the big thermal tensile stress on the outside of the glass from the differential temperature, then the water exacerbates it due to both factors.
*** Yes, those crazy-ass water molecules!
**** If you're closed, why not go to voice mail, with the hours? If you're not, well, don't waste my time.
***** Yes, they billed the insurance company that much. I asked, and it would have been only about half that if it were me, paying cash.
Comments (6)
Sweet Seasons - Carole King
Posted On: Saturday - May 15th 2021 8:20PM MST
In Topics:   Music
There's plenty to write about, but it was too much of a nice day to get a post or two going (and had an on-line respectful conversation with Ron Unz - amazingly!).
We've got two book reviews still waiting to be written, that national budget business, another post about Minneagadishu, and maybe a nice Libertarian post about health care I've been meaning to write. Oh, and don't forget funny cat videos... no, we're not that desperate yet.
In the meantime, to sign off for the blog week, Peak Stupidity gives you a 50 year-old song. No kidding, it's been that long. From her Music album early in her career, here is my favorite Carole King song, called Sweet Seasons. (The video doesn't mean much to me, so this is just for the audio.)
Carole King – Vocals, piano
Curtis Amy – Tenor saxophone
Oscar Brashear – Flugelhorn
Bobbye Hall – Bongos, congas
Danny Kortchmar – Electric guitar
Charles Larkey – Bass guitar
Joel O'Brien – Drums
Ralph Schuckett – Hammond organ
The song was written by Miss King and Toni Stern.
More stupidity is coming Monday. Thank you all for reading!
Comments (11)
Yes, we have
Posted On: Friday - May 14th 2021 11:13PM MST
In Topics:   Liberty/Libertarianism  Kung Flu Stupidity

Our State has lightened up on the face masking business. Of course, I like to rub it in. I've not been wearing my Personal Protective Equipment in the grocery since sometime in the fall anyway, which was the case when I went to buy some bananas the other day. "Hey, we have a new mandate - no more face diapers.", I told the check-out girl. She proceeded to explain to me private vs. public spaces.
Now, nobody out-Libertarians me, I tells ya'! It's also that the young lady didn't have any understanding of what's been happening either.. "See, we're private so we can make people wear the masks in the store." she told me, as I stood there with no face mask getting the bananas scanned and rung up. "Oh, I get that. What about last summer? If I'd had a restaurant and wanted to allow people to not wear the face diapers, could I have done that, on my private property?"
Not crickets exactly, as there were the normal beeps in the story from the scanners and people trying to talk to each other through face masks. Still, there was nothing to say between us. It's not like we haven't lived through these mandates for a year, yet I was supposed to hear a half-assed Murray Rothbard lecture from a young lady who can't even see the other side of the coin?
I got the same story from another young lady at the coffee shop later in the day. Hmmm, they were so big on mandates and "emergency orders" over the whole last year, and now I'm hearing about private property rights. Yes, people have gone bananas.
Comments (11)
New Jersey Jones and the Temple of Doom
Posted On: Friday - May 14th 2021 10:53AM MST
In Topics:   Immigration Stupidity  Humor  Race/Genetics  Bible/Religion

Watch out behind the rec-center. There are tons of snakes back there!
Steve Sailer, in a post appropriately titled The New America, discusses this story about a bust of a slavery ring in Robbinsville, New Jersey. North central New Jersey is indeed •Indian Central or "Subcontinental Central" for those PC folks who require the bland purely directional names - see Peak Stupidity's Handy pocket-sized PC guide from PS Legal Eagle for more guidance.
We've written before with the Immigration Stupidity topic key, mostly based on VDare articles, on the new forms of slavery being practiced here in the New World. Though the headlines won't often make it clear, all the stories I've read are about imported foreigners keeping imported foreign slaves. From the Forbes article*:
A large Hindu temple in central New Jersey was accused Tuesday of forcibly holding hundreds of construction workers from India on its grounds and requiring them to work over 80 hours a week, a massive labor case some experts have linked to pervasive discrimination against members of India’s marginalized social castes — even in the United States.They were getting paid $1.20/hr, so TECHNICALLY, it wasn't slavery. It was just a mass case of kidnapping or something. I mean, it's not 1865, right, and we did ratify that Amendment XIII. I'm almost positive that these great hard-working new immigrants to America would have learned the US Constitution as a stipulation for receiving their immigration visas. If they passed their tests and didn't get sent immediately back home, then they should all be well-versed in the language of Amendment XIII. How could something like this happen?!
Several workers filed a civil lawsuit Tuesday against the Bochasanwasi Akshar Purushottam Swaminarayan Sanstha (BAPS) religious sect, alleging violations of federal and state labor laws as well as anti-human trafficking laws.Some one tell me again, why it is necessary to have religious visas? These people should have come under the CL4-BB-1A visas (Cheap Labor 4 Big Business - 1 A) or the MDV-24 visas (More Democrat Votes - '24). Those dang immigration officers and their paperwork screw-ups!
The suit claims over 200 workers were recruited in India under false pretenses, given religious visas, and often forced to spend more than 12 hours a day doing masonry work on a BAPS-affiliated temple in Robbinsville, New Jersey.
$1.20 an hour. That’s how much the temple workers were typically paid, well below the federal government’s $7.25 an hour minimum wage and New Jersey’s $12 an hour minimum wage, the lawsuit claims. They were allegedly paid $450 a month to perform 87.5 hours of work every week with rare days off, and their pay was docked for minor infractions.I'm sure this was nothing but a currency conversion error. The remainder was likely paid to them
People hold onto their caste biases, she said, and employers around the world take advantage of desperate Dalit laborers.OK, this pisses me off at both this Forbes writer and even, to a much lesser degree, Steve Sailer, regarding his post. Why the flying fuck should Americans have to understand a damn thing about these •Indian castes? It's not OUR way of life, it's theirs. If any should be coming to this country to stay to begin with, they need to drop that shit when they get here. Dalit, Brahmin, I don't give a damn - speak English and fit in, or GTFO!
“It's an extremely common practice back in India, where Dalit wage laborers are exploited and severely underpaid, because their work is not seen as worthwhile,” Dutt told Forbes. “Unsurprisingly, [these practices] are transported directly to the United States.”
Most Americans aren’t familiar with the intricacies of India’s caste system, Dutt says, making it easier for mistreatment to fly under the radar. But this isn’t the first time a U.S. employer has faced allegations of caste discrimination. The state of California sued tech company Cisco last year after a staffer claimed his supervisor discriminated against him based on caste, a charge the company denied, and some Indian Americans who belong to the Dalit caste have indicated they fear employment discrimination and marginalization at college.
Of course, we have too many for that now, as the commenters have noted regarding this part of New Jersey, but also the SF Bay area, and enclaves all around. So we have to deal with what now? The American nutballs that have not spoken out and even encouraged all this need to speak with a Psychologist, and perhaps even join a group session. I recommend Dr. Robert Hartley in downtown Chicago. No, he can't prescribe drugs ... least not over the counter... though I'm sure it would help.

"You say there are Americans in New Jersey who own slaves?"
"Oh, they're not Americans... You saw them eating lots of curry every day ... Are you sure you are in New Jersey, Mr. Carlson? You are. Robbinsville."
"But, Mr. Carslon, slavery was outlawed in 1865 ... Americans are not allowed to own slaves.... Oh, the slave OWNERS are not Americans either... "
"I don't understand, Mr. Carlson. How would there be any benefit for America to have slavery again, if we have only foreigners owning foreign slaves in ... you say New Jersey?"
"I'll tell you what, Mr. Carlson. I'm gonna have Carol set you up to join in with our fear of slavery group. It meets on Tuesdays at 3 O'Clock, right after our fear of humidity group..."
"Oh, you'd like me to form a fear of stupidity group. You know, you might be onto something, Mr. Carlson. You're the 3rd person who's suggested that this week."
* I know that Forbes is far from the best source for truth, but the other options for this story were from TV news sites, which normally bounce around on the screen like methed-up Clash fans for minutes before one can read calmly.
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Nicholas Wade on that Wuhan lab and origins of the Kung Flu
Posted On: Thursday - May 13th 2021 8:41PM MST
In Topics:   China  Science  Kung Flu Stupidity
Note: This stuff is interrupting the natural flow of the stupidity analysis on this site. However, after reading 600-odd comments under Ron Unz's latest piece of speculation and then getting into the Nicholas Wade article, I feel the need to stay on the topic of the origin of the Kung Flu today. Note also, that the title of the previous post referred to Ann Coulter, but I got into Mr. Wade's article more than she did and more than her column.

"Lets's go down to the lab, and see what's on the slab."
The article I just finished reading, Origin of Covid — Following the Clues published on May 2nd by Nicholas Wade, is a mostly-non-technical discussion in which the author maintains that the COVID-19 virus originated in a certain virology lab in Wuhan, China. This is as opposed to a natural origin, meaning that the virus evolved in steps from being contagious in, and harmful to, bats to being contagious in, and harmful to humans.
First of all, in regards to the Ron Unz "Fort Detrick!!" anti-Americans theory, Mr. Unz brought up Mr. Wade's paper early on in his article (linked-to above) to bolster his position. No, it bolsters only 1/2 of his position - no, the virus didn't come from the "wet markets", the paper claims. OK, but while it does that, a whole lot of the discussion is about the specific Wuhan lab, how the research got funded and accomplished there, the purposefully much lower levels of safety used for this experimentation on a virus this dangerous, and specifics of the head researcher, one Dr. Shi Zheng-li aka “Bat Lady”. (No, Dr.. Shi has neither the rear end nor the furin cleavage that Bat Woman has - she is Bat Lady - so no, errr, human interest story here....) Though he gives the 3rd option of the DIRECT transfer of this virus from bats to humans, the author comes up with arguments against that too, so Nicholas Wade's main point is that this Kung Flu came out of the Level-4-capable Wuhan Institute of Biology. I don't know how Mr. Unz missed this point - was he skimming again?
Peak Stupidity left off in the previous post at the discussion of the reduced level of safety at this lab, using level 2 procedures to save on hassle, for the creation of a dangerous virus that should have been done under level 4 procedures. Let me go to Mr. Wade's 4 arguments for the lab-creation of this Coronavirus vs. a natural progression from animals. The 1st 2 are non-technical, but the 2nd 2 do require some scientific* thinking. I will use his headings:
1) The place of origin:
This is the simplest argument. The author notes that the type of bats that are usually implicated in these new viruses that come out live in caves in Yunnan province, 1,500 miles from Wuhan. They don't travel far. Yet the outbreak was in the city of Wuhan, right where the lab doing this research was. There's that common sense thing again... BTW, the researchers, including Dr. Shi herself, would go to these bat caves (OK, no more Batman/Batwoman/Robin jokes, for now) themselves and gather batshit** (guano) for the research. Miners in these caves have gotten ill and died in the past. This direct contact is discussed in that "3rd option" portion of the article after these 4 points.
2) Natural history and evolution:
Herein, Mr. Wade explains that the normal evolution of viruses from being ones that affect animals to ones that affect humans involves a number of steps. The changes in the virus from one step to the next can be observed. It's like detective work, from what I gather from the author's discussion.
For SARS-1, there were a total of 20 changes (from mutations) in the virus seen, showing the evolution. This strains of this latest virus seen in Wuhan in humans "showed limited genetic diversity".
3) The furin cleavage site
OK, no jokes this time. The definition:
The furin cleavage site is a minute part of the virus’s anatomy but one that exerts great influence on its infectivity. It sits in the middle of the SARS2 spike protein. It also lies at the heart of the puzzle of where the virus came from.OK, but this is unusual:
Viruses have all kinds of clever tricks, so why does the furin cleavage site stand out? Because of all known SARS-related beta-coronaviruses, only SARS2 possesses a furin cleavage site. All the other viruses have their S2 unit cleaved at a different site and by a different mechanism.Then the author explains that this furin cleavage would be formed not from the mutation process but from the recombination process. But:
Beta-coronaviruses will only combine with other beta-coronaviruses but can acquire, by recombination, almost any genetic element present in the collective genomic pool. What they cannot acquire is an element the pool does not possess. And no known SARS-related beta-coronavirus, the class to which SARS2 belongs, possesses a furin cleavage site.There's more, if you're up for it.
4) A Question of Codons:
Here's where you need to go back to high school bio class ... or not. Chemistry is not to understand here really, only arithmetic. There are 4 kinds of "DNA unit" formed in groups of 3, to specify the amino acid to be placed(?). Yet there are only 20 amino acids in DNA. These 64 combinations can make specify one of the 20 amino acids in various ways then. The thing is, different species' DNA uses more of one combination than another to do this. Mr. Wade says that this COVID-19 virus has it's amino acids specified more by the same combinations of DNA units as humans do than would be expected. This is his proof or conjecture that this virus didn't slowly evolve but was created directly in the lab to affect humans.
All that said, let me get away from the science and more into the poltics. Nowhere in the paper, or even my previous common-sense thoughts in the matter, is it said/thought that this virus was created to kill people. It was created to do experiments that could help in a future pandemic by helping in the formulation of a vaccine. However, isn't this putting the cart before the horse? The risk seems so much bigger than any reward, and Mr. Wade agrees completely:
The benefits of the research in preventing future epidemics have so far been nil, the risks vast. If research on the SARS1 and MERS viruses could only be done at the BSL3 safety level, it was surely illogical to allow any work with novel coronaviruses at the lesser level of BSL2. Whether or not SARS2 escaped from a lab, virologists around the world have been playing with fire.Unlike Mr. Unz's theory, Mr. Wade's paper does not ascribe the creation of the Kung Flu in that Wuhan Virology lab to nefarious purposes. His conclusion is very much what my common sense had told me ***. The Chinese are not particularly quality or safety concious. Mr. Wade's relating that this dangerous research, meant to be done with level-4 safety, was done with level-2 safety for convenience is a good demonstration of this.
Additionally, Mr. Wade's paper demonstrates the 2nd part of my common sensical conclusion, also having to do with Chinese characteristics, or at least that of modern Chinese society. Face it, nobody wants to lose face or own up honestly to mistakes there. Mr. Wade describes this in one of his 4 points in the political section, near the end of this paper:
China’s central authorities did not generate SARS2 but they sure did their utmost to conceal the nature of the tragedy and China’s responsibility for it. They suppressed all records at the Wuhan Institute of Virology and closed down its virus databases. They released a trickle of information, much of which may have been outright false or designed to misdirect and mislead. They did their best to manipulate the WHO’s inquiry into the virus’s origins, and led the commission’s members on a fruitless run-around. So far they have proved far more interested in deflecting blame than in taking the steps necessary to prevent a second pandemic.Well, readers, I may add another post tomorrow, as Nicholas Wade's political conclusion is pretty interesting too. Here's hoping you all aren't sick of reading this "origins of the Kung Flu" stuff. I will agree right away with anyone who says "Who cares?! It's the PanicFest, stupid!" Yes, indeed, the use of this virus that is so far from the Black Death 2.0 as to be laughable to introduce previously-unheard-of Police State measures and to enable a year-long-and-running Infotainment PanicFest is the BIG STORY here.
I'm just writing these recent posts because the otherwise honorable and lucid Ron Unz has been kind of a dick about this one, going down a rabbit hole based on the claims of one commenter on his blog (believe it or not!) and because I hate that anti-all-things-American attitude of his and a lot of others'. It's fairly interesting too, but not enough to beat out 100 other flavors of stupidity we could be posting about.
Note: For those somewhat more technically inclined, commenter Late-2-the-Party give a link to the NerdHasPower site with this article from back in mid-March of '20. I say "somewhat technically inclined" because this material really has no higher math in it. Biology is a pretty descriptive science, rather than quantitative, so, other than looking a a piece of DNA sequence, I think a non-virologist could get through this, were he so inclined. I'm not, sorry to say.
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[UPDATED 05/18] Just added a quick comment about, and link to, a more technical and fundamental paper supporting man-made origin of the Kung Flu.
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* The author says "think back to high school", but I'll be damned if that did it for me. However, you don't need the chemistry to understand what he's getting at.
** Some say Dr. Shi is just plain batshit crazy, but, well, I thought I'd finished the bat jokes, but, nah...
*** Admittedly, I have figured it could be the natural evolution seen before OR the Wuhan lab leak, with about equal preference, as I didn't know any of this molecular biology that Nicholas Wade discusses.
Comments (13)
Ann Coulter on that Wuhan Lab
Posted On: Wednesday - May 12th 2021 8:46PM MST
In Topics:   Pundits  China  Science  Kung Flu Stupidity

(Picture taken straight off of VDare again.)
I guess it's not coincidental, Miss Coulter's writing of her latest column "I Will Not Be Scienced"—Experts Wrong, Covid Could Have Come From Wuhan Lab After All coming just after Ron Unz's defense of his speculation on the origins of the Kung Flu. A scientist named Nicholas Wade just wrote Origin of Covid — Following the Clues, which Mr. Unz referred to to support his theory (all it supports is that, yeah, the virus must have come out of A lab, not his beloved Ft. Detrick).
Mr. Wade's article is long but not difficult at all to wade through (get it?) either. Weirdly, I was ~ 1/2 way through when the article just disappeared. I had intended to excerpt some of it, but I may have to do that in another post. Here's the gist of what I read: Over a year ago, when the COVID-19 virus was noticed to have spread around Wuhan two scientists, one with a strong vested interest in the work in the recently-opened Wuhan virology lab, wrote opinion pieces with the backing of others, purporting to "settle the science" that the virus had NOT come out of a lab. Mr. Wade called the reasoning in both of these letters or statements, not scientific papers at all, "contrived" and explained in layman's terms.
OK, the article is back. While it stays up, from Mr. Wade regarding the first scientist (the one with the big vested interest):
Virologists like Dr. Daszak had much at stake in the assigning of blame for the pandemic. For 20 years, mostly beneath the public’s attention, they had been playing a dangerous game. In their laboratories they routinely created viruses more dangerous than those that exist in nature. They argued they could do so safely, and that by getting ahead of nature they could predict and prevent natural “spillovers,” the cross-over of viruses from an animal host to people. If SARS2 had indeed escaped from such a laboratory experiment, a savage blowback could be expected, and the storm of public indignation would affect virologists everywhere, not just in China. “It would shatter the scientific edifice top to bottom,” an MIT Technology Review editor, Antonio Regalado, said in March 2020.Miss Coulter gets to the gist of the arguments, but I had a question that is answered in this paper, the question being right here in bold:
Why would anyone want to create a novel virus capable of causing a pandemic? Ever since virologists gained the tools for manipulating a virus’s genes, they have argued they could get ahead of a potential pandemic by exploring how close a given animal virus might be to making the jump to humans. And that justified lab experiments in enhancing the ability of dangerous animal viruses to infect people, virologists asserted.Is it worth it? Why not try to avoid eating bats and rodents in the first place?
Dr. Baric and Dr. Shi [Dr. Shi being the lead Chinese researcher in the Wuhan lab, and Dr. Baric being a collaborator from UNC (Chapel Hill, N. Carolina)] referred to the obvious risks in their paper but argued they should be weighed against the benefit of foreshadowing future spillovers. Scientific review panels, they wrote, “may deem similar studies building chimeric viruses based on circulating strains too risky to pursue.” Given various restrictions being placed on gain-of function (GOF) research, matters had arrived in their view at “a crossroads of GOF research concerns; the potential to prepare for and mitigate future outbreaks must be weighed against the risk of creating more dangerous pathogens. In developing policies moving forward, it is important to consider the value of the data generated by these studies and whether these types of chimeric virus studies warrant further investigation versus the inherent risks involved.”At this point the article goes into the specific research plan for this dangerous Coronavirus investigation as written for the grant, then describes some backtracking by the dastardly Dr. Daszak, and finally information about the state of safety at this recently-opened Wuhan level-4 virology lab with "BSL4 being the most restrictive and designed for deadly pathogens like the Ebola virus." Yikes! My skin is crawling just reading this stuff. (OK, never mind, just fleas...)
That statement was made in 2015. From the hindsight of 2021, one can say that the value of gain-of-function studies in preventing the SARS2 epidemic was zero. The risk was catastrophic, if indeed the SARS2 virus was generated in a gain-of-function experiment.
The Wuhan Institute of Virology had a new BSL4 lab, but its state of readiness considerably alarmed the State Department inspectors who visited it from the Beijing embassy in 2018. “The new lab has a serious shortage of appropriately trained technicians and investigators needed to safely operate this high-containment laboratory,” the inspectors wrote in a cable of 19 January 2018.There ya go. Now we're getting to what this blogger has seen and understood from observations of China and common damn sense (too bad Mr. Ron Unz has neither). More on the safety aspect:
The real problem, however, was not the unsafe state of the Wuhan BSL4 lab but the fact that virologists worldwide don’t like working in BSL4 conditions. You have to wear a space suit, do operations in closed cabinets and accept that everything will take twice as long. So the rules assigning each kind of virus to a given safety level were laxer than some might think was prudent.
Before 2020, the rules followed by virologists in China and elsewhere required that experiments with the SARS1 and MERS viruses be conducted in BSL3 conditions. But all other bat coronaviruses could be studied in BSL2, the next level down. BSL2 requires taking fairly minimal safety precautions, such as wearing lab coats and gloves, not sucking up liquids in a pipette, and putting up biohazard warning signs. Yet a gain-of-function experiment conducted in BSL2 might produce an agent more infectious than either SARS1 or MERS. And if it did, then lab workers would stand a high chance of infection, especially if unvaccinated.Ahhh, just the flu, bro!
Much of Dr. Shi’s work on gain-of-function in coronaviruses was performed at the BSL2 safety level, as is stated in her publications and other documents. She has said in an interview with Science magazine that “The coronavirus research in our laboratory is conducted in BSL-2 or BSL-3 laboratories.”
“It is clear that some or all of this work was being performed using a biosafety standard — biosafety level 2, the biosafety level of a standard US dentist’s office — that would pose an unacceptably high risk of infection of laboratory staff upon contact with a virus having the transmission properties of SARS-CoV-2,” says Dr. Ebright.
“It also is clear,” he adds, “that this work never should have been funded and never should have been performed.”
This is a view he holds regardless of whether or not the SARS2 virus ever saw the inside of a lab.
Concern about safety conditions at the Wuhan lab was not, it seems, misplaced. According to a fact sheet issued by the State Department on January 15,2021, “ The U.S. government has reason to believe that several researchers inside the WIV became sick in autumn 2019, before the first identified case of the outbreak, with symptoms consistent with both COVID-19 and common seasonal illnesses.”
OK, there was nothing nefarious that went on with the loss of the page for a while, as it was probably just swamped with hits, but I'm too tired to finish it right now.
I'll tell you what though. I'm a little bit disappointed in Peak Stupidity's favorite literary pundit though. Ann Coulter:
One of Wade’s main points is that COVID-19 is the only coronavirus with a furin cleavage site. (You don’t need to know what it is—substitute the words “chocolate bunny.”) “So,” Wade concludes, “it’s hard to explain how the [COVID] virus picked up its furin cleavage site naturally.”Furin cleavage? What's the problem? Peak Stupidity has absolutely nothing against furin cleavage, deeming it every bit as hot and bothering as American cleavage. I'm not disappointed in Ann Coulter for not even trying to understand the science. I'm disappointed in her having not come up with this joke before a measly Peak Stupidity blogger. Up your game, Annie!
Well, and, yeah, this too:
Whether the virus that destroyed the world economy and has already killed more than 3 million people came from a Chinese lab or a Chinese wet market, or a Chinese restaurant on the Upper West Side (unlikely), it’s China’s fault.No, the contrived PanicFest destroyed the world's economy, or attempted to, and 3 million people?!! OMG! At 1% deaths yearly, just a nice round decent estimate, we have 70 million deaths yearly, so 3 million is 1/2 a month's worth of additional deaths. Hell, Africa can make that up in no time, if that's what you want.
Then:
What is mind-boggling about Wade’s article is the overweening and baseless pomposity of our high priests of SCIENCE.That's a nice concluding sentence to go along with the clever title. However, I'm still disappointed. Ann Coulter's take still beats all hell out of Ron Unz's. It seems like we're all speculating. It helps to speculate with some common sense and experience. Mine tells me this:
- Quality is not Job 1 in China. That's not so good when you're running a BSL level 4 virology lab.
- Were a bad thing to happen, such as an escape of a deadly virus from a lab in Wuhan, the Chinese people would not likely come clean. Those that did come clean may have been terminated, and the rest would hide everything as long as they could for fear of the CCP, which would do it's best coverup from thereon. In the meantime, "Fort Detrick!! Squalk!! Fort Detrick!! It's the Americans who done it!!"
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Every Contact Leaves a Trace - book review
Posted On: Wednesday - May 12th 2021 6:50PM MST
In Topics:   Science  Books

As is the usual case for me nowadays, I got this book due to a mention in the Unz Review comments somewhere. Every Contact Leaves a Trace is a 15 y/o book now, by one Connie Fletcher. Not much of the book was really written by Mrs.(?)* Fletcher though. She let the subjects of her book write most of the content (the amazon way), as she edited all the quotes and stories into certain sections.
Connie Fletcher is into cop stuff, and this is one of 3 or 4 books on the subject of their work lives that she's written. Every Contact Leaves a Trace is about modern (at least in 2006) detective work and all the specialty fields that may be utilized in the more difficult forensic cases. You'd know about half of these fields if you do some thinking about it, but there are ones I never would have thought of. There are experts in blood splatter dynamics, tires, clothing, and the entomology of bugs that live in the body after death, for example.
There's nothing wrong with the author's not having written that much of the actual book. Her method of letting the detectives and various scientific/technician types do the explaining and story-telling works pretty well. All in all she has 80 contributors. Their biographies are in the back, though she does not connect the bios. with the anecdotes for anonymity. The 9 chapters are mostly organized along the various phases of the investigations, lab work, courtroom time, etc.
Some of the scenes described are pretty gruesome and/or horrible, though not all of the crimes in the book are necessarily murders. The contributors do a pretty good job, most with their own senses of humor. Goodreads reminded me of this same quote that I had already intended to put in, from Chapter 2 on inside crime scenes
“We get a lot of calls where the person is murdered at home, but is not found for a period of time. And so the animals have already started to take the body apart because they haven't been fed in that period. So your evidence is being chewed up by the family pet.Haha, I take offense at that one as a cat lover. He's just staring at me because he loves me, I'm sure ...
I tell you - Dogs are more loyal than cats. Cats will wait only a certain period of time and they'll start chewing on you. Dogs will wait a day or two before they just can't take the starving anymore. So, keep that in mind when choosing a pet.
You know how a cat just stares at you, maybe at the top of the TV, from across the room? That's because they're watching to see if you're gonna stop breathing.”
One of the first things the author discusses is the words out of so many detectives and crime scene experts she has interviewed relating real life to CSI. Where have I heard something like that before? Oh, yeah, Peak Stupidity noted that real life is not like the Jason Bourne movies that show the experts doing everything just right with all the tools that could possibly be on hand.** Author Connie Fletcher picked out her anecdotes and discussions from probably many more, and she includes many with the comparisons of this real life analysis to the TV show. The excerpts do include talk about the TV crime shows cluing people in on what crime analysts CAN do, but people assume the best case scenarios. I would think that would make people too optimistic (as relatives of victims) or too paranoid (as criminals). Regarding the latter, I guess criminals are usually too stupid or impulsive to be paranoid though, except after the fact.
Discussion in Chapter 7 on the modern crime labs tells us that the situations in CSI scenes are unrealistic as the resources are spread much more thin in real life. Wait times for analysis can be in months rather than right after the commercial break.
In the many, many stories in this book, besides a few high profile cases, as in the Green River Killer south of Seattle, names and other specifics are not given but there are some damn interesting cases. Race of the victims, suspects and proven perpetrators is not given (but, of course!), though for some of the crimes, well, it's just pretty obvious.
The real meat of this book is in the chapters on "Trace Evidence" (4) and DNA (6). That's where you learn what all can be used to try to solve crimes that don't just solve themselves by sheer stupidity of the criminals or confessions. The title "Every Contact Leaves a Trace" comes from this material, in which those amazing very specific technical fields of knowledge are used, often in association with each other to solve the tough cases. The DNA chapter says that this science is a game changer in lots of ways for the whole field of crime analysis, and this is from 15 years back.
This is an entertaining book that can be read in a day or less. I will add this, at the risk of sounding like an agitator or worse: I don't sympathize with any of the criminals in the stories, though I'm sure more sympathetic ones could have been included. However, the way things are going in this country, we may find ourselves under Police State rule sooner than we may have imagined a few years ago. It'd perhaps be helpful to read this book for the information on what kind of tracing can be done on us. Something to consider is that the detectives and others in the book are working to not just solve a crime but get enough evidence to convict someone in a court of law. Big-Gov's standard for persecution is a lot lower. Anyway, this is almost a moot point though unless we take into account our pieces of iEspionage, something that could not be included in this book from 2006.
* Understandably, since she is involved with cops and the investigations by cops, the author doesn't leave much of a biography on the web. She was a Professor of Journalism at Loyola in Chicago and is 74 years old. She is the sister of a cop, but I don't know if she's married. We still use the old-fashioned Miss/Mrs. here, hence the necessary footnote.
** See Apprehending Jason Bourne, we're the government and we're all on it, Part 2, and Part 3.
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